Response by Stephen Salmore

The Bush vote is solid in New Jersey. However, it’s unlikely that the President will pick up much of the undecided voters, which indicates that Kerry will hold on to the lead in New Jersey. By the same token, the President is holding on to his base nationally, and is ahead, and is likely to hold on to that lead, and carry the country.

see also:
Survey Analysis
Thigpen's Analysis
Tabular Results
Survey Details

Comment by Fairleigh Dickinson University Research Professor of Political Science, Stephen Salmore (Ph.D., Princeton University). Steve specializes in both national and New Jersey politics and presently operates Raritan Associates, Inc. He is co-author of Parties, Elections and Campaigns and New Jersey Government and Politics. Dr. Stephen Salmore can be reached at 973-292-3633.