|
Tables
Question:
Have you heard of a company called Goldman Sachs? If you haven’t just
tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Goldman Sachs? Would that be very or somewhat? |
| |
Haven’t
heard of |
|
Very
Favorable |
Some-
what
Favorable |
Somewhat
Un-
favorable |
Very
Un-
favorable |
No
opinion |
| |
18% |
|
4% |
11% |
20% |
17% |
30% |
| Question:
Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in
New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state
has gotten off on the wrong track? |
| |
All |
Party |
Public
employee household |
|
|
|
| D |
I |
R |
yes |
no |
|
|
|
|
| Right
direction |
23% |
34 |
14 |
10 |
16 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
| Wrong
track |
64% |
49 |
73 |
83 |
70 |
63 |
|
|
|
|
| Unsure |
13% |
16 |
14 |
7 |
14 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Right track/wrong track trend
| |
Mar |
Jan |
Nov |
Oct |
Sept |
June |
Apr |
Feb |
Jan |
Oct |
Sep |
Jun |
May |
Mar |
| |
09 |
09 |
08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘06 |
| Right
direction |
25% |
25 |
24 |
23 |
23 |
25 |
26 |
25 |
28 |
30 |
38 |
36 |
42 |
39 |
| Wrong
track |
59% |
65 |
65 |
67 |
67 |
64 |
66 |
65 |
61 |
59 |
49 |
50 |
44 |
47 |
| Unsure |
16% |
10 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
12 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
Instruction: ask at random any five names: Jon Corzine, Chris Christie,
Rick Merkt, Steve Lonegan, Brian Levine, Richard Codey, Cory Booker.
| Question:
Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven’t just tell me. [If
yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would
that be very or somewhat? |
| N=580/MoE
+/-4 |
Haven’t
heard of |
Heard
of |
Very
Favorable |
Somewhat
Favorable |
Somewhat
Unfavorable |
Very
Unfavorable |
Unsure |
| Jon
Corzine (all) |
1% |
(99) |
10% |
23% |
18% |
38% |
9% |
| (Democrats
only) |
-- |
(100) |
16 |
34 |
20 |
17 |
12 |
| Previous
Surveys… |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Corzine
03/09 |
1% |
(99%) |
10% |
28% |
22% |
26% |
13% |
| Corzine
01/09 |
2% |
(98%) |
14% |
28% |
21% |
23% |
12% |
| Corzine
11/08 |
3% |
(97%) |
13% |
27% |
17% |
26% |
14% |
| Corzine
09/08 |
2% |
(98%) |
12 |
30 |
18 |
27 |
11 |
| Corzine
06/08 |
2% |
(98%) |
17 |
24 |
19 |
24 |
14 |
| N=578/+/-
4 |
Haven’t
heard of |
|
Very
Favorable |
Somewhat
Favorable |
Somewhat
Unfavorable |
Very
Unfavorable |
No
opinion |
| Richard
Codey |
21% |
|
20% |
26% |
11% |
4% |
18% |
| Democrats
only |
26 |
|
23 |
26 |
9 |
1 |
16 |
| Codey
03/09 |
25% |
|
18% |
23% |
8% |
6% |
20% |
| Codey
09/09 |
27% |
|
24% |
25% |
7% |
4% |
14% |
|
|
Haven’t
heard of |
Very |
Somewhat |
No |
Somewhat |
Very
unfavorable |
N/MoE |
| Favorable |
Favorable |
opinion |
Unfavorable |
| Cory
Booker |
38% |
19% |
20% |
13% |
7% |
3% |
575/+/-4 |
| Democrats
only |
35 |
26 |
21 |
10 |
6 |
2 |
281/+/-
6 |
| Booker
03/09 |
47% |
13% |
19% |
15% |
4% |
2% |
532/+/-
4 |
| Booker
09/08 |
44% |
17% |
15% |
16% |
5% |
3% |
583/+/-
4 |
| |
Haven’t
heard of |
Very
favorable |
Somewhat
favorable |
No
opinion |
Somewhat
unfavorable |
Very
unfavorable |
N/MoE |
| Chris
Christie |
38% |
14% |
17% |
20% |
8% |
4% |
578/+/-4 |
| Republicans
only |
28 |
24 |
24 |
18 |
5 |
1 |
180/+/-
7 |
| Christie
03/09 |
43% |
12% |
18% |
22% |
4% |
2% |
526/+/-
4 |
| Christie
01/09 |
56% |
11% |
12% |
15% |
4% |
2% |
695/+/-
4 |
| Christie
09/08 |
60% |
2% |
3% |
14% |
11% |
9% |
572/+/-
4 |
| Steve
Lonegan |
59% |
7% |
9% |
19% |
3% |
4% |
575/+/-4 |
| Republicans
only |
41 |
16 |
15 |
20 |
5 |
2 |
190/+/-7 |
| Lonegan
03/09 |
67% |
5% |
9% |
16% |
2% |
1% |
541/+/-4 |
| Lonegan
01/09 |
71% |
3% |
6% |
12% |
4% |
4% |
688/+/-
4 |
| Lonegan
09/08 |
76% |
2% |
1% |
12% |
5% |
4% |
569/+/-
4 |
| Rick
Merkt |
88% |
-- |
3% |
6% |
2% |
1% |
578/+/-4 |
| Republicans
only |
83 |
1 |
5 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
198/+/-7 |
| Merkt
03/09 |
91% |
-- |
2% |
5% |
2% |
-- |
535/+/-4 |
| Merkt
01/09 |
89% |
1% |
3% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
694/+/-
4 |
| Merkt
10/08 |
89% |
1% |
1% |
7% |
2% |
1% |
471/+/-
4 |
| Brian
Levine |
83% |
-- |
3% |
9% |
3% |
1% |
583/+/-4 |
| Republicans
only |
85 |
-- |
4 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
208/+/-7 |
| Levine
03/09 |
83% |
1% |
2% |
11% |
2% |
1% |
538/+/-4 |
TRIAL HEATS: CORZINE VS REPUBLICANS
| Next
November there will be an election for governor. I know it’s early
but who would you vote for in a race between… and…? And if it were
between… and…? And if it were between … and …? [ROTATE ORDER; ROTATE
NAMES; ASK AT RANDOM ˝ MERKT, ˝ LEVINE] |
| Ask
all: |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
March |
January |
|
| Jon
Corzine, the Democrat |
33% |
58 |
18 |
6 |
32% |
40% |
|
| Chris
Christie, the Republican |
42% |
17 |
43 |
78 |
41% |
33% |
|
| Don’t
know/neither/other (vol.) |
25% |
25 |
39 |
16 |
27% |
26% |
|
| Ask
all: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jon
Corzine, the Democrat |
37% |
62 |
22 |
9 |
36% |
46% |
|
| Steve
Lonegan, the Republican |
36% |
11 |
31 |
72 |
32% |
28% |
|
| Don’t
know/neither/other |
27% |
26 |
47 |
18 |
31% |
26% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jon
Corzine, the Democrat |
37% |
63 |
25 |
8 |
37% |
43% |
|
| Rick
Merkt, the Republican |
33% |
12 |
25 |
66 |
28% |
23% |
|
| Don’t
know/neither/other (vol.) |
30% |
26 |
51 |
26 |
35% |
33% |
|
| Ask
˝: (n=408; MoE=+/-5) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jon
Corzine, the Democrat |
33% |
58 |
15 |
7 |
38% |
|
|
| Brian
Levine, the Republican |
34% |
15 |
38 |
57 |
27% |
|
|
| Don’t
know/neither/other (vol.) |
33% |
26 |
47 |
35 |
36% |
|
|
Job rating, current
| How
would you rate the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor… [READ]? |
| |
All |
Party |
|
| Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
|
|
| Excellent |
3% |
6 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| Good |
24% |
37 |
16 |
9 |
|
|
| Only
fair |
36% |
38 |
42 |
29 |
|
|
| Poor |
35% |
17 |
37 |
60 |
|
|
| unsure
(vol) |
2% |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
Job rating, previous measures
| |
2009 |
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
2006 |
| |
Mar |
Jan |
No |
Oc |
Se |
Jun |
Ap |
Feb
|
Jan
|
Oc
|
Sep |
Jun |
Mar |
Jan |
Nov
|
Oct
|
Sep
|
| Excellent |
2% |
4 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
| Good |
28% |
28 |
28 |
27 |
28 |
27 |
29 |
28 |
29 |
37 |
37 |
37 |
39 |
34 |
40 |
40 |
33 |
| Only
fair |
40% |
41 |
39 |
41 |
41 |
41 |
36 |
38 |
39 |
38 |
39 |
36 |
39 |
38 |
30 |
32 |
33 |
| Poor |
28% |
25 |
24 |
25 |
25 |
24 |
30 |
27 |
23 |
17 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
17 |
17 |
14 |
20 |
| Unsure |
3% |
2 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
7 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
Approve/disapprove Current
| Do
you approve or disapprove of the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor? |
| |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Opinion
of Goldman-Sachs |
|
| favorable |
unfavorable |
Never
heard of Goldman |
|
|
| Approve
|
40% |
61 |
25 |
16 |
34 |
36 |
53 |
|
|
| Disapprove |
49% |
28 |
58 |
77 |
59 |
58 |
33 |
|
|
| Mixed/unsure |
11% |
11 |
16 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
13 |
|
|
Approve/disapprove, previous surveys
| |
2009 |
2008 |
2007 |
2006 |
| |
Mar |
Jan |
Nov |
Oct |
Sept |
Jun |
Apr |
Feb |
Jan
30th |
Jan
7th |
Oct
|
Sep |
Jun |
Mar |
Jan |
Nov |
Oct |
Sep |
| Approve |
40% |
46 |
46 |
45 |
41 |
40 |
44 |
42 |
41 |
48 |
51 |
54 |
50 |
55 |
51 |
58 |
56 |
51 |
| Disapprove |
46% |
40 |
37 |
39 |
43 |
41 |
45 |
43 |
39 |
32 |
29 |
25 |
27 |
25 |
29 |
27 |
28 |
31 |
| mixed/DK |
13% |
14 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
19 |
11 |
16 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
21 |
23 |
20 |
19 |
15 |
16 |
18 |
| Question:
Now I’d like to ask you a few questions about the New Jersey State
budget. How much have you heard or read about the Governor’s proposed
state budget for the coming year…? |
| |
All |
Approve
of Governor |
Disapprove
of Governor |
| Nothing
at all |
15% |
17 |
9 |
| Only
a little |
28% |
29 |
24 |
| Some |
44% |
40 |
51 |
| A
great deal |
13% |
14 |
15 |
| Question:
Now in order to balance the budget, some people say…. Others say to
balance the budget…. Which position comes closest to your view? |
| [Rotate
list] |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
|
2006 |
2005 |
| …
the state should hold the line on spending even if programs are reduced |
72% |
64 |
68 |
86 |
|
67% |
63% |
| …the
state should raise taxes if necessary and continue to support state
programs |
19% |
27 |
22 |
6 |
|
21% |
26% |
| Neither
(vol) |
1% |
1 |
4 |
1 |
|
4% |
4% |
| Both
(vol) |
2% |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
3% |
2% |
| Don’t
know (vol) |
6% |
6 |
4 |
6 |
|
4% |
6% |
Question : In order either to raise money or to cut spending in next year’s budget a number of proposals have been put on the table. For each of these proposals, tell me whether you think it’s a good idea or a bad idea. |
|
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Reduce state aid to cities and towns. |
|
|
|
|
|
Good idea |
28% |
23 |
24 |
37 |
|
Bad idea |
60% |
68 |
56 |
51 |
|
Unsure/ref. |
12% |
8 |
19 |
12 |
Require state employees to take 12 unpaid days off |
|
|
|
|
|
Good idea |
55% |
53 |
51 |
62 |
|
Bad idea |
37% |
42 |
35 |
31 |
|
Unsure/ref. |
8% |
5 |
14 |
7 |
Eliminate 7000 state jobs. |
|
|
|
|
|
Good idea |
39% |
25 |
44 |
58 |
|
Bad idea |
49% |
65 |
40 |
29 |
|
Unsure/ref. |
13% |
10 |
15 |
12 |
Only give property tax rebates to seniors and people making less than 75 thousand dollars a year. |
|
|
|
|
|
Good idea |
62% |
69 |
57 |
53 |
|
Bad idea |
33% |
26 |
34 |
43 |
|
Unsure/ref. |
6% |
4 |
9 |
3 |
Require cities and towns to hold off few a few years on their payments to pension funds for public employees |
|
|
|
|
|
Good idea |
23% |
21 |
26 |
26 |
|
Bad idea |
65% |
69 |
61 |
64 |
|
Unsure/ref. |
12% |
10 |
14 |
10 |
Eliminate the property tax deduction on state income tax forms |
|
|
|
|
|
Good idea |
24% |
27 |
22 |
21 |
|
Bad idea |
66% |
62 |
62 |
74 |
|
Unsure/ref. |
10% |
10 |
16 |
6 |
| Question:
Taking everything into account, do you think the budget Gov. Corzine
has proposed is good for New Jersey or bad for New Jersey? |
| |
All |
Dem. |
Ind.
|
Rep. |
2007 |
2006 |
2005 |
2004 |
| Good |
24% |
38 |
12 |
10 |
38% |
30% |
33% |
25% |
| Bad |
44% |
29 |
48 |
66 |
29% |
41% |
25% |
35% |
| Unsure
(vol) |
32% |
34 |
40 |
23 |
32% |
28% |
42% |
40% |
Instruction: Ask Republicans only (N=287; MoE +/- 6):
| In
June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Republican
voters will select a Republican candidate to run for governor. Are
you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election? |
| Likely |
77% |
| Not
likely |
17% |
| Don’t
know [VOL] |
4% |
| Not
registered as Rep. [Skip to next series] |
2% |
| Question:
I know it’s early, but if the Republican primary election for governor
were held today, would you vote for…or…or…? |
| ROTATE
NAMES |
|
March |
January |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chris
Christie |
40 |
39 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
| lean
Christie |
3 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| total
Christie |
43% |
43% |
32% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Steve
Lonegan |
19 |
14 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
| lean
Lonegan |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| total
Lonegan |
21% |
15% |
15% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rick
Merkt |
2 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| lean
Merkt |
-- |
-- |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| total
Merkt |
2% |
1% |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian
Levine |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| lean
Levin |
-- |
-- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total
Levine |
2% |
2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Unsure/none/other |
32% |
39% |
47% |
|
|
|
|
|
Instruction: Ask Democrats only (N=395; MoE +/- 5):
| In
June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Democrats
will select a Democratic candidate to run for governor. Are you likely
or not likely to vote in that primary election? |
| Likely |
76% |
| Not
likely |
19% |
| Don’t
know [VOL] |
4% |
| Not
registered as Dem. [Skip to next series] |
1% |
| Q:
And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today,
would you vote for…or … ? |
| ROTATE
NAMES |
|
March |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jon
Corzine |
44 |
49 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| lean
Corzine |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| total
Corzine |
45% |
51% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Richard
Codey |
36 |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| lean
Codey |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| total
Codey |
37% |
32% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Don’t
know/neither |
18% |
17% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Question:
And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today,
would you vote for…or … ? |
| ROTATE
NAMES |
|
March |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jon
Corzine |
46 |
51 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| lean
Corzine |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| total
Corzine |
48% |
54% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cory
Booker |
32 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| lean
Booker |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| total
Booker |
33% |
23% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Don’t
know/neither |
18% |
23% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
# # #
|
see also:
Survey Analysis
Survey Details

|