Tables

Question: Have you heard of a company called Goldman Sachs? If you haven’t just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Goldman Sachs? Would that be very or somewhat?

Haven’t heard of

Very Favorable

Some-
what
Favorable

Somewhat
Un-
favorable

Very
Un-
favorable

No opinion

18%

4%

11%

20%

17%

30%


Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track?

All

Party

Public employee household

D

I

R

yes

no

Right direction

23%

34

14

10

16

25

        

Wrong track

64%

49

73

83

70

63

        

Unsure

13%

16

14

7

14

13

Right track/wrong track trend

Mar

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sept

June

Apr

Feb

Jan

Oct

Sep

Jun

May

Mar

09

09

08

‘08

‘08

‘08

‘08

‘08

‘08

‘07

‘07

‘07

‘07

‘06

Right direction

25%

25

24

23

23

25

26

25

28

30

38

36

42

39

Wrong track

59%

65

65

67

67

64

66

65

61

59

49

50

44

47

Unsure

16%

10

10

10

11

12

9

10

11

12

12

14

14

15

Instruction: ask at random any five names: Jon Corzine, Chris Christie, Rick Merkt, Steve Lonegan, Brian Levine, Richard Codey, Cory Booker.

Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven’t just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?

N=580/MoE +/-4

Haven’t heard of

Heard of

Very

Favorable

Somewhat

Favorable

Somewhat

Unfavorable

Very

Unfavorable

 

Unsure

Jon Corzine (all)

1%

(99)

10%

23%

18%

38%

9%

(Democrats only)

--

(100)

16

34

20

17

12

Previous Surveys…

Corzine 03/09

1%

(99%)

10%

28%

22%

26%

13%

Corzine 01/09

2%

(98%)

14%

28%

21%

23%

12%

Corzine 11/08

3%

(97%)

13%

27%

17%

26%

14%

Corzine 09/08

2%

(98%)

12

30

18

27

11

Corzine 06/08

2%

(98%)

17

24

19

24

14


N=578/+/- 4

Haven’t heard of

 

Very

Favorable

Somewhat

Favorable

Somewhat

Unfavorable

Very

Unfavorable

No opinion

Richard Codey

21%

 

20%

26%

11%

4%

18%

Democrats only

26

 

23

26

9

1

16

Codey 03/09

25%

 

18%

23%

8%

6%

20%

Codey 09/09

27%

 

24%

25%

7%

4%

14%


 

Haven’t heard of

Very

Somewhat

No

Somewhat

Very

unfavorable

N/MoE

Favorable

Favorable

opinion

Unfavorable

Cory Booker

38%

19%

20%

13%

7%

3%

575/+/-4

Democrats only

35

26

21

10

6

2

281/+/- 6

Booker 03/09

47%

13%

19%

15%

4%

2%

532/+/- 4

Booker 09/08

44%

17%

15%

16%

5%

3%

583/+/- 4

 

Haven’t heard of

Very

favorable

Somewhat

favorable

No opinion

Somewhat

unfavorable

Very

unfavorable

N/MoE

Chris Christie

38%

14%

17%

20%

8%

4%

578/+/-4

Republicans only

28

24

24

18

5

1

180/+/- 7

Christie 03/09

43%

12%

18%

22%

4%

2%

526/+/- 4

Christie 01/09

56%

11%

12%

15%

4%

2%

695/+/- 4

Christie 09/08

60%

2%

3%

14%

11%

9%

572/+/- 4

Steve Lonegan

59%

7%

9%

19%

3%

4%

575/+/-4

Republicans only

41

16

15

20

5

2

190/+/-7

Lonegan 03/09

67%

5%

9%

16%

2%

1%

541/+/-4

Lonegan 01/09

71%

3%

6%

12%

4%

4%

688/+/- 4

Lonegan 09/08

76%

2%

1%

12%

5%

4%

569/+/- 4

Rick Merkt

88%

--

3%

6%

2%

1%

578/+/-4

Republicans only

83

1

5

6

3

1

198/+/-7

Merkt 03/09

91%

--

2%

5%

2%

--

535/+/-4

Merkt 01/09

89%

1%

3%

5%

2%

1%

694/+/- 4

Merkt 10/08

89%

1%

1%

7%

2%

1%

471/+/- 4

Brian Levine

83%

--

3%

9%

3%

1%

583/+/-4

Republicans only

85

--

4

6

3

2

208/+/-7

Levine 03/09

83%

1%

2%

11%

2%

1%

538/+/-4


TRIAL HEATS: CORZINE VS REPUBLICANS

Next November there will be an election for governor. I know it’s early but who would you vote for in a race between… and…? And if it were between… and…? And if it were between … and …? [ROTATE ORDER; ROTATE NAMES; ASK AT RANDOM ˝ MERKT, ˝ LEVINE]

Ask all:

All

Dem

Ind

Rep

March

January

Jon Corzine, the Democrat

33%

58

18

6

32%

40%

Chris Christie, the Republican

42%

17

43

78

41%

33%

Don’t know/neither/other (vol.)

25%

25

39

16

27%

26%

Ask all:

Jon Corzine, the Democrat

37%

62

22

9

36%

46%

Steve Lonegan, the Republican

36%

11

31

72

32%

28%

Don’t know/neither/other

27%

26

47

18

31%

26%

 

Jon Corzine, the Democrat

37%

63

25

8

37%

43%

Rick Merkt, the Republican

33%

12

25

66

28%

23%

Don’t know/neither/other (vol.)

30%

26

51

26

35%

33%

Ask ˝: (n=408; MoE=+/-5)

Jon Corzine, the Democrat

33%

58

15

7

38%

Brian Levine, the Republican

34%

15

38

57

27%

Don’t know/neither/other (vol.)

33%

26

47

35

36%

Job rating, current

How would you rate the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor… [READ]?

All

Party

Dem

Ind

Rep

Excellent

3%

6

1

1

    

Good

24%

37

16

9

    

Only fair

36%

38

42

29

Poor

35%

17

37

60

unsure (vol)

2%

2

3

2

Job rating, previous measures

2009

2008

2007

2006
 

Mar

Jan

No

Oc

Se

Jun

Ap

Feb

Jan

Oc

Sep

Jun

Mar

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sep

Excellent

2%

4

6

4

3

4

3

5

6

5

7

5

6

4

10

11

9

Good

28%

28

28

27

28

27

29

28

29

37

37

37

39

34

40

40

33

Only fair

40%

41

39

41

41

41

36

38

39

38

39

36

39

38

30

32

33

Poor

28%

25

24

25

25

24

30

27

23

17

15

14

12

17

17

14

20

Unsure

3%

2

4

3

4

4

2

2

3

3

3

8

4

7

3

3

5

 

Approve/disapprove Current

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor?

All

Dem

Ind

Rep

Opinion of Goldman-Sachs

favorable

unfavorable

Never heard of Goldman

Approve

40%

61

25

16

34

36

53

Disapprove

49%

28

58

77

59

58

33

Mixed/unsure

11%

11

16

7

7

6

13

 

Approve/disapprove, previous surveys

 

2009

2008

2007

2006
 

Mar

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sept

Jun

Apr

Feb

Jan

30th

Jan

7th

Oct

Sep

Jun

Mar

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sep

Approve

40%

46

46

45

41

40

44

42

41

48

51

54

50

55

51

58

56

51

Disapprove

46%

40

37

39

43

41

45

43

39

32

29

25

27

25

29

27

28

31

mixed/DK

13%

14

17

17

16

19

11

16

20

20

20

21

23

20

19

15

16

18


Question: Now I’d like to ask you a few questions about the New Jersey State budget. How much have you heard or read about the Governor’s proposed state budget for the coming year…?
 

All

Approve of Governor

Disapprove of Governor

Nothing at all

15%

17

9

Only a little

28%

29

24

Some

44%

40

51

A great deal

13%

14

15

Question: Now in order to balance the budget, some people say…. Others say to balance the budget…. Which position comes closest to your view?

[Rotate list]

All

Dem

Ind

Rep

  

2006

2005

… the state should hold the line on spending even if programs are reduced

72%

64

68

86

  

67%

63%

…the state should raise taxes if necessary and continue to support state programs

19%

27

22

6

  

21%

26%

Neither (vol)

1%

1

4

1

  

4%

4%

Both (vol)

2%

2

2

1

  

3%

2%

Don’t know (vol)

6%

6

4

6

  

4%

6%

Question : In order either to raise money or to cut spending in next year’s budget a number of proposals have been put on the table. For each of these proposals, tell me whether you think it’s a good idea or a bad idea.

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Reduce state aid to cities and towns. 

 

Good idea

28%

23

24

37

 

Bad idea

60%

68

56

51

 

Unsure/ref.

12%

  8

19

12

Require state employees to take 12 unpaid days off

 

Good idea

55%

53

51

62

 

Bad idea

37%

42

35

31

 

Unsure/ref.

8%

  5

14

  7

Eliminate 7000 state jobs.

 

Good idea

39%

25

44

58

 

Bad idea

49%

65

40

29

 

Unsure/ref.

13%

10

15

12

Only give property tax rebates to seniors and people making less than 75 thousand dollars a year.

 

Good idea

62%

69

57

53

 

Bad idea

33%

26

34

43

 

Unsure/ref.

6%

  4

  9

  3

Require cities and towns to hold off few a few years on their payments to pension funds for public employees

 

Good idea

23%

21

26

26

 

Bad idea

65%

69

61

64

 

Unsure/ref.

12%

10

14

10

Eliminate the property tax deduction on state income tax forms

 

Good idea

24%

27

22

21

 

Bad idea

66%

62

62

74

 

Unsure/ref.

10%

10

16

   6

Question: Taking everything into account, do you think the budget Gov. Corzine has proposed is good for New Jersey or bad for New Jersey?
 

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

2007

2006

2005

2004

Good

24%

38

12

10

38%

30%

33%

25%

Bad

44%

29

48

66

29%

41%

25%

35%

Unsure (vol)

32%

34

40

23

32%

28%

42%

40%

Instruction: Ask Republicans only (N=287; MoE +/- 6):

In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Republican voters will select a Republican candidate to run for governor. Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election?

Likely

77%

Not likely

17%

Don’t know [VOL]

4%

Not registered as Rep. [Skip to next series]

2%

Question: I know it’s early, but if the Republican primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or…or…?

ROTATE NAMES

March

January

Chris Christie

40

39

30

lean Christie

3

4

2

total Christie

43%

43%

32%

Steve Lonegan

19

14

13

lean Lonegan

2

1

2

total Lonegan

21%

15%

15%

Rick Merkt

2

1

4

lean Merkt

--

--

1

total Merkt

2%

1%

5%

Brian Levine

2

2

lean Levin

--

--

Total Levine

2%

2%

Unsure/none/other

32%

39%

47%

Instruction: Ask Democrats only (N=395; MoE +/- 5):

In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Democrats will select a Democratic candidate to run for governor. Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election?

Likely

76%

Not likely

19%

Don’t know [VOL]

4%

Not registered as Dem. [Skip to next series]

1%

Q: And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or … ?

ROTATE NAMES

March

Jon Corzine

44

49

lean Corzine

1

2

total Corzine

45%

51%

Richard Codey

36

29

lean Codey

1

3

total Codey

37%

32%

Don’t know/neither

18%

17%

Question: And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or … ?

ROTATE NAMES

March

Jon Corzine

46

51

lean Corzine

2

3

total Corzine

48%

54%

Cory Booker

32

22

lean Booker

1

1

total Booker

33%

23%

Don’t know/neither

18%

23%

# # #

see also:

Survey Analysis
 Survey Details

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