Tables

Question US1: In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track?

 

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

18%

11%

9%

34%

22%

15%

Wrong track

69%

82%

70%

49%

67%

72%

Unsure/don’t know

12%

7%

21%

17%

12%

13%

Fev-08

           

Right direction

21%

13%

22%

34%

24%

18%

Wrong track

66%

80%

60%

49%

68%

65%

Unsure/don’t know

13%

6%

17%

17%

8%

17%

Jan-08

           

Right direction

19%

10

17

33

22

16

Wrong track

74%

87

74

54

72

76

Unsure/don’t know

8%

4

9

13

6

8

Oct-07

           

Right direction

18%

7

12

41

23

13

Wrong track

71%

84

75

46

68

74

Unsure

11%

9

12

14

9

13

Sep-07

           

Right direction

20%

8

15

45

20

20

Wrong track

67%

84

74

35

68

67

Unsure

13%

9

11

20`

13

13

Jun-07

           

Right direction

19%

8

12

40

23

15

Wrong track

70%

87

65

49

67

73

Unsure

11%

5

23

11

10

12

May-07

           

Right direction

22%

10

15

43

28

17

Wrong track

65%

82

67

40

59

70

Don’t know/Unsure

13%

8

17

17

13

13

Mar-07

           

Right direction

22%

12

18

41

25

19

Wrong track

65%

82

66

43

61

69

Don’t know/Unsure

13%

7

16

16

13

12


Question US2: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

 

All

Dem

Ind

Rep

Feb '08

Jan '08

Oct '07

Sep ‘07

Jun ‘07

May ‘07

Mar ‘07

Approve

26%

8%

22%

53%

23%

23%

26%

27%

24%

28%

33%

Dis-
approve

68%

88%

66%

39%

65%

69%

66%

65%

68%

65%

61%

Don't Know/ Ref.

6%

4%

12%

8%

11%

7%

7%

8%

8%

7%

5%


Question US3: Now, turning to Iraq… How well is the U.S. military effort in Iraq going…?

 

All

Dem

Ind

Rep

Feb '08

Jan '08

Oct '07

Jun ‘07

May ‘07

Mar ‘07

Jan ‘07

Nov '06

Oct '06

Jul '06

Very well

10%

5%

8%

19%

13

12

10

5

7

5

4

6

8

11

Fairly well

29%

18%

33%

45%

32

27

25

21

22

22

21

21

25

28

Not too well

29%

36%

24%

21%

27

27

30

30

33

32

35

30

30

28

Not at all well

26%

36%

23%

9%

22

27

28

37

34

36

35

40

34

30

Unsure / Ref.

6%

5%

12%

5%

7

7

7

6

5

6

5

3

4

3


Question US4:  Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake?

 

All

Party

Feb

Jan.

Oct.

Jun

May

Mar

Jan

Nov

   

Dem

Ind

Rep

 08

‘08

‘07

‘07

‘07

‘07

‘07

‘06

Right thing

28%

9%

28%

57%

28

27

27

28

30

29

31

30

Mistake

64%

87%

64%

32%

62

65

62

61

63

66

63

65

Unsure
/Ref.

7%

4%

9%

11%

9

8

10

10

6

5

7

5


Question: And in the November election for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to support if the candidates are…and… ?  [If “don’t know,” (VOL) ASK: “which way to you lean?”]

ROTATE NAMES

All

Party

Gender

Feb '08

   

Dem

Ind

Rep

Male

Female

 

Hillary Clinton

46%

77%

23%

8%

40%

51%

43%

 Lean Clinton

2%

3%

4%

0%

2%

3%

1%

Total Clinton

48%

80%

27%

8%

41%

55%

43%

John McCain

42%

12%

47%

86%

50%

35%

37%

Lean McCain

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

Total McCain

43%

13%

48%

87%

51%

35%

39%

unsure

7%

5%

16%

4%

6%

7%

11%

neither

2%

1%

9%

1%

2%

3%

6%


Question: And in the November election for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to support if the candidates are…and… ?  [If “don’t know,” ASK: “which way to you lean?”]

ROTATE NAMES

All

Party

Gender

Feb. ‘08

   

Dem

Ind

Rep

Male

Female

 

Barack Obama

46%

70%

37%

14%

46%

46%

42%

 Lean Obama

1%

1%

1%

0%

2%

0%

 1%

Total Obama

47%

71%

38%

14%

47%

46%

43%

John McCain

41%

18%

37%

79%

42%

39%

36%

Lean McCain

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

 2%

Total McCain

42%

19%

37%

80%

44%

41%

38%

unsure

8%

6%

17%

5%

7%

9%

14%

neither

3%

4%

7%

1%

2%

5%

5%


Question: Thinking about all three candidates for president--[ROTATE] McCain, Clinton, and Obama--Who is your 1st choice, your second choice and your last choice?

 

All

Male

Female

 

1st

2nd

Last

1st

2nd

Last

1st

2nd

Last

Obama

35%

30%

25%

40%

27%

24%

31%

32%

27%

McCain

37%

16%

43%

42%

15%

39%

33%

16%

46%

Clinton

28%

32%

32%

18%

35%

37%

36%

29%

27%

unsure

0%

23%

0%

0%

23%

0%

0%

23%

0%


Question: Thinking about all three candidates for president--[ROTATE] McCain, Clinton, and Obama--Who is your 1st choice, your second choice and your last choice?

 

Democrat

Independent

Republican

 

1st

2nd

Last

1st

2nd

Last

1st

2nd

Last

Obama

48%

31%

16%

46%

17%

28%

13%

34%

38%

McCain

7%

18%

70%

40%

18%

31%

81%

12%

7%

Clinton

45%

38%

13%

15%

29%

41%

6%

24%

56%

usnure

0%

13%

0%

0%

36%

0%

0%

31%

0%

Questions asked only to Democrats (N=417):

Question: As you know, the Democratic nomination for President has not been settled yet. How worried are you that the on-going contest will hurt the Democrats’ chances in November…READ? [Democrats Only]

   

Gender

Clinton  Placement

 

All

Male

Female

1st

2nd

3rd

Very worried

20%

19%

20%

17%

18%

27%

Somewhat worried

31%

34%

29%

34%

28%

32%

Just a little

16%

16%

16%

16%

17%

12%

Not at all

32%

28%

34%

31%

35%

29%

Don’t know/ref.

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

0%


[Democrats Only] Question: Some people have suggested that either Clinton or Obama should withdraw and let the other have the nomination?  Do you think one of the candidates should withdraw? [If “yes” ASK: “which one?”]

 

All

Male

Female

No, neither should

67%

71%

65%

Yes, Clinton

17%

17%

16%

Yes, Obama

10%

5%

13%

Yes, DK (vol)

4%

4%

4%

DK (vol)

2%

2%

2%


Question: Some people have suggested that Clinton and Obama should run together on the same ticket for President and Vice-President. Do you think this is a good idea or bad idea?

 

All

Clinton  Placement

   

1st

2nd

3rd

Good idea

55%

67%

51%

29%

Bad idea

39%

27%

41%

67%

DK (vol)

7%

6%

8%

4%


Question: If they run together, who should be the candidate for President…or…?

 

All

Clinton  Choice among 3 candidates

   

1st

2nd

3rd

Clinton

44%

86%

9%

13%

Obama

42%

5%

77%

73%

Doesn't Matter

6%

4%

6%

6%

DK (vol)

8%

5%

8%

8%


Question: It may be in the end that the Democratic Party’s super-delegates will decide who wins the party’s nomination.   How confident are you that the party’s super -delegates will do what’s best for the Party…?

 

All

Clinton  Placement

   

1st

2nd

3rd

Very Confident

15%

16%

17%

10%

Somewhat Confident

47%

44%

51%

43%

Not Very Confident

21%

21%

19%

23%

Not at all Confident

10%

11%

7%

15%

DK (vol)

7%

8%

6%

10%


Question: By the way… do you know which candidate, Clinton or Obama, Governor Corzine is supporting for President?

 

All

Clinton  Placement

   

1st

2nd

3rd

Clinton

34%

31%

32%

50%

Obama

4%

4%

4%

0%

DK (vol)

62%

65%

64%

50%


Question: Governor Corzine will be a delegate to the national convention and has supported Hillary Clinton.  Should he continue to support Clinton at the national convention even if Obama has more delegates or should he switch?

 

All

Clinton  Placement

   

1st

2nd

3rd

Continue with Clinton

54%

82%

28%

37%

Switch

33%

8%

58%

42%

DK (vol)

13%

10%

14%

22%

# # #

see also:

Survey Analysis
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