Tables
Question US1: In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track? |
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All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
|
Right direction |
18% |
11% |
9% |
34% |
22% |
15% |
Wrong track |
69% |
82% |
70% |
49% |
67% |
72% |
Unsure/don’t know |
12% |
7% |
21% |
17% |
12% |
13% |
Fev-08 |
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Right direction |
21% |
13% |
22% |
34% |
24% |
18% |
Wrong track |
66% |
80% |
60% |
49% |
68% |
65% |
Unsure/don’t know |
13% |
6% |
17% |
17% |
8% |
17% |
Jan-08 |
||||||
Right direction |
19% |
10 |
17 |
33 |
22 |
16 |
Wrong track |
74% |
87 |
74 |
54 |
72 |
76 |
Unsure/don’t know |
8% |
4 |
9 |
13 |
6 |
8 |
Oct-07 |
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Right direction |
18% |
7 |
12 |
41 |
23 |
13 |
Wrong track |
71% |
84 |
75 |
46 |
68 |
74 |
Unsure |
11% |
9 |
12 |
14 |
9 |
13 |
Sep-07 |
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Right direction |
20% |
8 |
15 |
45 |
20 |
20 |
Wrong track |
67% |
84 |
74 |
35 |
68 |
67 |
Unsure |
13% |
9 |
11 |
20` |
13 |
13 |
Jun-07 |
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Right direction |
19% |
8 |
12 |
40 |
23 |
15 |
Wrong track |
70% |
87 |
65 |
49 |
67 |
73 |
Unsure |
11% |
5 |
23 |
11 |
10 |
12 |
May-07 |
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Right direction |
22% |
10 |
15 |
43 |
28 |
17 |
Wrong track |
65% |
82 |
67 |
40 |
59 |
70 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
13% |
8 |
17 |
17 |
13 |
13 |
Mar-07 |
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Right direction |
22% |
12 |
18 |
41 |
25 |
19 |
Wrong track |
65% |
82 |
66 |
43 |
61 |
69 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
13% |
7 |
16 |
16 |
13 |
12 |
Question US2: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? |
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All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Feb '08 |
Jan '08 |
Oct '07 |
Sep ‘07 |
Jun ‘07 |
May ‘07 |
Mar ‘07 |
|
Approve |
26% |
8% |
22% |
53% |
23% |
23% |
26% |
27% |
24% |
28% |
33% |
Dis- |
68% |
88% |
66% |
39% |
65% |
69% |
66% |
65% |
68% |
65% |
61% |
Don't Know/ Ref. |
6% |
4% |
12% |
8% |
11% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
5% |
Question US3: Now, turning to Iraq… How well is the U.S. military effort in Iraq going…? |
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All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Feb '08 |
Jan '08 |
Oct '07 |
Jun ‘07 |
May ‘07 |
Mar ‘07 |
Jan ‘07 |
Nov '06 |
Oct '06 |
Jul '06 |
|
Very well |
10% |
5% |
8% |
19% |
13 |
12 |
10 |
5 |
7 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
Fairly well |
29% |
18% |
33% |
45% |
32 |
27 |
25 |
21 |
22 |
22 |
21 |
21 |
25 |
28 |
Not too well |
29% |
36% |
24% |
21% |
27 |
27 |
30 |
30 |
33 |
32 |
35 |
30 |
30 |
28 |
Not at all well |
26% |
36% |
23% |
9% |
22 |
27 |
28 |
37 |
34 |
36 |
35 |
40 |
34 |
30 |
Unsure / Ref. |
6% |
5% |
12% |
5% |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
Question US4: Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake? |
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All |
Party |
Feb |
Jan. |
Oct. |
Jun |
May |
Mar |
Jan |
Nov |
|||
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
08 |
‘08 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘06 |
||
Right thing |
28% |
9% |
28% |
57% |
28 |
27 |
27 |
28 |
30 |
29 |
31 |
30 |
Mistake |
64% |
87% |
64% |
32% |
62 |
65 |
62 |
61 |
63 |
66 |
63 |
65 |
Unsure |
7% |
4% |
9% |
11% |
9 |
8 |
10 |
10 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
5 |
Question: And in the November election for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to support if the candidates are…and… ? [If “don’t know,” (VOL) ASK: “which way to you lean?”] |
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ROTATE NAMES |
All |
Party |
Gender |
Feb '08 |
|||
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Male |
Female |
|||
Hillary Clinton |
46% |
77% |
23% |
8% |
40% |
51% |
43% |
Lean Clinton |
2% |
3% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
3% |
1% |
Total Clinton |
48% |
80% |
27% |
8% |
41% |
55% |
43% |
John McCain |
42% |
12% |
47% |
86% |
50% |
35% |
37% |
Lean McCain |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
Total McCain |
43% |
13% |
48% |
87% |
51% |
35% |
39% |
unsure |
7% |
5% |
16% |
4% |
6% |
7% |
11% |
neither |
2% |
1% |
9% |
1% |
2% |
3% |
6% |
Question: And in the November election for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to support if the candidates are…and… ? [If “don’t know,” ASK: “which way to you lean?”] |
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ROTATE NAMES |
All |
Party |
Gender |
Feb. ‘08 |
|||
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Male |
Female |
|||
Barack Obama |
46% |
70% |
37% |
14% |
46% |
46% |
42% |
Lean Obama |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
2% |
0% |
1% |
Total Obama |
47% |
71% |
38% |
14% |
47% |
46% |
43% |
John McCain |
41% |
18% |
37% |
79% |
42% |
39% |
36% |
Lean McCain |
1% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
Total McCain |
42% |
19% |
37% |
80% |
44% |
41% |
38% |
unsure |
8% |
6% |
17% |
5% |
7% |
9% |
14% |
neither |
3% |
4% |
7% |
1% |
2% |
5% |
5% |
Question: Thinking about all three candidates for president--[ROTATE] McCain, Clinton, and Obama--Who is your 1st choice, your second choice and your last choice? |
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All |
Male |
Female |
|||||||
1st |
2nd |
Last |
1st |
2nd |
Last |
1st |
2nd |
Last |
|
Obama |
35% |
30% |
25% |
40% |
27% |
24% |
31% |
32% |
27% |
McCain |
37% |
16% |
43% |
42% |
15% |
39% |
33% |
16% |
46% |
Clinton |
28% |
32% |
32% |
18% |
35% |
37% |
36% |
29% |
27% |
unsure |
0% |
23% |
0% |
0% |
23% |
0% |
0% |
23% |
0% |
Question: Thinking about all three candidates for president--[ROTATE] McCain, Clinton, and Obama--Who is your 1st choice, your second choice and your last choice? |
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Democrat |
Independent |
Republican |
|||||||
1st |
2nd |
Last |
1st |
2nd |
Last |
1st |
2nd |
Last |
|
Obama |
48% |
31% |
16% |
46% |
17% |
28% |
13% |
34% |
38% |
McCain |
7% |
18% |
70% |
40% |
18% |
31% |
81% |
12% |
7% |
Clinton |
45% |
38% |
13% |
15% |
29% |
41% |
6% |
24% |
56% |
usnure |
0% |
13% |
0% |
0% |
36% |
0% |
0% |
31% |
0% |
Questions asked only to Democrats (N=417):
Question: As you know, the Democratic nomination for President has not been settled yet. How worried are you that the on-going contest will hurt the Democrats’ chances in November…READ? [Democrats Only] |
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Gender |
Clinton Placement |
|||||
All |
Male |
Female |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
Very worried |
20% |
19% |
20% |
17% |
18% |
27% |
Somewhat worried |
31% |
34% |
29% |
34% |
28% |
32% |
Just a little |
16% |
16% |
16% |
16% |
17% |
12% |
Not at all |
32% |
28% |
34% |
31% |
35% |
29% |
Don’t know/ref. |
2% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
0% |
[Democrats Only] Question: Some people have suggested that either Clinton or Obama should withdraw and let the other have the nomination? Do you think one of the candidates should withdraw? [If “yes” ASK: “which one?”] |
|||
All |
Male |
Female |
|
No, neither should |
67% |
71% |
65% |
Yes, Clinton |
17% |
17% |
16% |
Yes, Obama |
10% |
5% |
13% |
Yes, DK (vol) |
4% |
4% |
4% |
DK (vol) |
2% |
2% |
2% |
Question: Some people have suggested that Clinton and Obama should run together on the same ticket for President and Vice-President. Do you think this is a good idea or bad idea? |
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All |
Clinton Placement |
|||
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
||
Good idea |
55% |
67% |
51% |
29% |
Bad idea |
39% |
27% |
41% |
67% |
DK (vol) |
7% |
6% |
8% |
4% |
Question: If they run together, who should be the candidate for President…or…? |
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All |
Clinton Choice among 3 candidates |
|||
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
||
Clinton |
44% |
86% |
9% |
13% |
Obama |
42% |
5% |
77% |
73% |
Doesn't Matter |
6% |
4% |
6% |
6% |
DK (vol) |
8% |
5% |
8% |
8% |
Question: It may be in the end that the Democratic Party’s super-delegates will decide who wins the party’s nomination. How confident are you that the party’s super -delegates will do what’s best for the Party…? |
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All |
Clinton Placement |
|||
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
||
Very Confident |
15% |
16% |
17% |
10% |
Somewhat Confident |
47% |
44% |
51% |
43% |
Not Very Confident |
21% |
21% |
19% |
23% |
Not at all Confident |
10% |
11% |
7% |
15% |
DK (vol) |
7% |
8% |
6% |
10% |
Question: By the way… do you know which candidate, Clinton or Obama, Governor Corzine is supporting for President? |
||||
All |
Clinton Placement |
|||
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
||
Clinton |
34% |
31% |
32% |
50% |
Obama |
4% |
4% |
4% |
0% |
DK (vol) |
62% |
65% |
64% |
50% |
Question: Governor Corzine will be a delegate to the national convention and has supported Hillary Clinton. Should he continue to support Clinton at the national convention even if Obama has more delegates or should he switch? |
||||
All |
Clinton Placement |
|||
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
||
Continue with Clinton |
54% |
82% |
28% |
37% |
Switch |
33% |
8% |
58% |
42% |
DK (vol) |
13% |
10% |
14% |
22% |
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see also: