Background Memo  

The most recent survey by Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind was conducted by telephone from February 27 through March 6 using a randomly selected sample of 601 registered voters statewide aged 18 and over.  The sampling error for 601 adults is +/- 4 percentage points at the 95 percent level of confidence. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling error. This kind of error, which cannot be measured, arises from a number of factors including, but not limited to, non-response (eligible individuals refusing to be interviewed), question wording, the order in which questions are asked, and variations among interviewers. All PublicMind interviews are conducted by TMR, Inc. of Cedar Knolls, NJ.  Professionally trained interviewers use a CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) system. Random selection is achieved through computerized random-digit dialing. This technique gives every person with a phone number (including those with unlisted numbers) an equal chance of being selected.

The questions included in this release are as follows:

Question: Later this year there will be an election for New Jersey's U.S. Senator between Bob Menendez, the Democrat and Tom Kean, Jr, the Republican? So far, how much have you heard or read about this race…[READ]?

Question:  Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?

Question: Later this year, there will be an election for US Senator from New Jersey . I realize it's early, but if that election were held right now, and you had to make a choice, which candidate would you vote for… or … ? [If “unsure” ask:] Which way do you lean…?

see also:
Survey Analysis
Democratic Analysis
Republican Analysis
Tabular Results

Copyright © 2006, Fairleigh Dickinson University. All rights reserved. FDU PublicMind Poll [Latest update 060309]