Tables
Question: And in the upcoming elections for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to vote for…or….? |
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rotate |
Party ID |
age |
gender |
race |
Sep |
June |
||||||||
N= |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
18- 29 |
30- 44 |
45-59 |
60+ |
men |
wom |
white |
Non-white |
2008 |
2008 |
Obama |
47 |
42 |
46% |
|||||||||||
lean Obama |
4 |
5 |
3% |
|||||||||||
total |
50% |
84 |
32 |
9 |
62 |
54 |
49 |
45 |
47 |
54 |
45 |
69 |
47% |
49% |
McCain |
33 |
37 |
31% |
|||||||||||
lean McCain |
4 |
4 |
2% |
|||||||||||
total |
37% |
9 |
24 |
82 |
35 |
34 |
39 |
39 |
41 |
33 |
43 |
14 |
41% |
33% |
Unsure |
11% |
6 |
36 |
8 |
3 |
9 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
16 |
11% |
15% |
neither |
3% |
1 |
9 |
1 |
-- |
3 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2% |
3% |
Question: Six months from now do you expect the economy will be better, worse, or about the same? |
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rotate names |
Party ID |
||||||||||||
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
||||||||||
Better |
31% |
28 |
23 |
38 |
|||||||||
Worse |
17% |
19 |
26 |
13 |
|||||||||
About the same |
42% |
48 |
36 |
36 |
|||||||||
Depends (vol.) |
3% |
2 |
3 |
5 |
|||||||||
don’t know (vol) |
7% |
4 |
12 |
8 |
|||||||||
Question: And in the upcoming elections for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to vote for…or….? |
||||
All |
In six months the economy will be… |
|||
better |
same |
worse |
||
Obama |
50% |
46 |
57 |
52 |
McCain |
37% |
45 |
32 |
31 |
undecided |
11% |
8 |
9 |
13 |
other |
3% |
-- |
3 |
4 |
Question: [Ask Democrats and lean Democrat only] Do you recall who you voted for in the Presidential primary election back in February? |
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Democratic Primary Election Vote |
||||||
Voted for Clinton |
All other Democrats |
|||||
Barack Obama |
76 |
81 |
||||
lean Obama |
7 |
3 |
||||
Total Obama |
83% |
84% |
||||
John McCain |
10 |
7 |
||||
lean McCain |
1 |
1 |
||||
Total McCain |
10% |
8% |
||||
unsure |
4% |
7% |
||||
Neither/other |
2% |
1% |
||||
Question: Did you personally watch or hear the recent presidential debate or did you not have the chance…? |
|||||||||
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
||||||
Yes, saw it |
78% |
78 |
74 |
79 |
|||||
No |
22% |
22 |
25 |
20 |
|||||
Question: Based on what you saw or read, which candidate do you think did better in the presidential debate? |
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All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
||||||
Barack Obama |
45% |
67 |
35 |
16 |
|||||
John McCain |
26% |
8 |
15 |
55 |
|||||
Neither (vol) |
20% |
17 |
32 |
20 |
|||||
Not sure (vol) |
10% |
9 |
18 |
9 |
|||||
Question: Which candidate for President… or … is better described by…? |
|
rotate names |
All |
Honest, trustworthy |
|
John McCain |
32% |
Barack Obama |
38% |
neither (vol) |
10% |
both (vol) |
13% |
don’t know (vol) |
6% |
Understands the concerns of the average person |
|
John McCain |
28% |
Barack Obama |
58% |
neither (vol) |
4% |
both (vol) |
6% |
don’t know (vol) |
4% |
Is a strong leader |
|
John McCain |
42% |
Barack Obama |
39% |
neither (vol) |
3% |
both (vol) |
10% |
don’t know (vol) |
6% |
Has the background and experience to be a good president |
|
John McCain |
53% |
Barack Obama |
27% |
neither (vol) |
7% |
both (vol) |
7% |
don’t know (vol) |
6% |
Question: Did you personally watch or hear the recent vice-presidential debate or did you not have the chance…? |
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N=407 (10/3-10/5) |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
||||
Yes, saw it |
86% |
87 |
73 |
87 |
||||
No |
14% |
13 |
27 |
13 |
||||
Question: Based on what you saw or read, which candidate do you think did better in the debate..? |
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N=407 (10/3-10/5) |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
men |
women |
voted for Clinton in primary |
|
Joe Biden |
53% |
82 |
47 |
15 |
47 |
57 |
73 |
|
Sarah Palin |
29% |
9 |
21 |
60 |
33 |
25 |
12 |
|
Neither, both (vol) |
12% |
6 |
13 |
20 |
15 |
10 |
9 |
|
Not sure (vol) |
6% |
4 |
19 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
6 |
|
Question: Do you think [NAME] is a good choice for Vice President or not a good choice? |
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Rotate order |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
men |
wom |
voted for Clinton in primary |
Sept. 2008 |
|
Joe Biden |
good choice |
66% |
84 |
54 |
45 |
63 |
70 |
84 |
64% |
Not good |
23% |
10 |
22 |
44 |
30 |
16 |
11 |
22% |
|
Unsure |
11% |
7 |
25 |
11 |
7 |
14 |
5 |
14% |
|
Sarah Palin |
good choice |
34% |
13 |
31 |
66 |
37 |
32 |
16 |
47% |
Not good |
54% |
79 |
43 |
22 |
53 |
56 |
78 |
34% |
|
Unsure |
12% |
8 |
25 |
13 |
11 |
12 |
6 |
19% |
|
Question US1: In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track? |
||||||
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
|
Right direction |
15% |
10 |
15 |
22 |
18 |
13 |
Wrong track |
78% |
86 |
76 |
69 |
76 |
79 |
Unsure |
7% |
4 |
9 |
9 |
6 |
8 |
Sept 08 |
||||||
Right direction |
19% |
9 |
16 |
33 |
21 |
17 |
Wrong track |
72% |
87 |
70 |
52 |
68 |
75 |
Unsure |
9% |
4 |
13 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
June 08 |
||||||
Right direction |
15% |
10 |
14 |
26 |
14 |
16 |
Wrong track |
74% |
83 |
76 |
60 |
77 |
72 |
Unsure |
10% |
7 |
10 |
14 |
9 |
12 |
April-08 |
||||||
Right direction |
18% |
11% |
9% |
34% |
22% |
15% |
Wrong track |
69% |
82% |
70% |
49% |
67% |
72% |
Unsure/don’t know |
12% |
7% |
21% |
17% |
12% |
13% |
Feb. ‘08 |
||||||
Right direction |
21% |
13 |
22 |
34 |
24 |
18 |
Wrong track |
66% |
80 |
60 |
49 |
68 |
65 |
Unsure |
13% |
6 |
17 |
17 |
8 |
17 |
Jan-08 |
||||||
Right direction |
19% |
10 |
17 |
33 |
22 |
16 |
Wrong track |
74% |
87 |
74 |
54 |
72 |
76 |
Unsure |
8% |
4 |
9 |
13 |
6 |
8 |
Nov-07 |
||||||
Right direction |
18% |
7 |
12 |
41 |
23 |
13 |
Wrong track |
71% |
84 |
75 |
46 |
68 |
74 |
Unsure |
11% |
9 |
12 |
14 |
9 |
13 |
Question US2: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? |
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All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Sep ‘08 |
Jun ‘08 |
Apr ‘08 |
Feb ‘08 |
Jan 08 |
Oct '07 |
Sep ‘07 |
Jun ‘07 |
|
Approve |
17% |
2 |
12 |
41 |
22% |
18 |
26 |
23 |
23 |
26 |
27 |
24 |
Disapprove |
76% |
95 |
78 |
48 |
71% |
75 |
68 |
65 |
69 |
66 |
65 |
68 |
Unsure / ref. |
7% |
3 |
10 |
11 |
7% |
7 |
6 |
11 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
# # #
see also:
Survey Analysis
Survey Details
