FDU PublicMind - January 9, 2009 Release

Tables

Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track?
	All	Party			Corzine approval
	All	D	I	R	approve	Disapprove
Right direction	25%	33	9	14	43	7
Wrong track	65%	55	81	81	46	90
Unsure	10%	13	9	5	11	3

Right track/wrong track trend

Instruction: ask at random any five names: Jon Corzine,
Frank Lautenberg, Bob Menendez, Chris Christie, Rick Merkt,
Steve Lonegan.

Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven’t just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?
N=691 / MoE +/-4	Haven’t heard of	Heard of	Very Favor- able	Some- what Favor- able	Some- what Un- favor- able	Very Un- favor- able	Unsure
Jon Corzine (all)	2%	(98%)	14%	28%	21%	23%	12%
(Democrats only)	3	(97)	20	35	20	9	13
Previous Surveys…
Corzine 10/08	3%	97%	13%	27%	17%	26%	14%
Corzine 09/08	2%	98%	12	30	18	27	11
Corzine 06/08	2%	98%	17	24	19	24	14
Corzine 04/08	2%	98%	12	26	22	30	10
Corzine 02/08	2%	98%	14	28	19	26	13
Corzine 21-28 Jan 08	2%	98%	13	26	18	25	18
Corzine 14-20 Jan 08	2%	98%	13	29	19	22	17
Corzine 1-6 Jan 08	2%	98%	13	34	20	16	18
Corzine 10/07	2%	98%	17	31	18	16	17
Corzine 09/07	1%	99%	19	35	16	15	14
Corzine 06/07	4%	96%	21	30	16	15	18
Corzine 05/07	4%	96%	21	37	16	12	15
Corzine 03/07	2%	98%	22	31	17	13	17
Corzine 01/07	3%	97%	14	36	16	13	21
Corzine 11/06	1%	99%	24	31	13	15	17
Corzine 10/06	2%	98%	26	29	14	17	15
Corzine 09/06	3%	97%	23	25	15	17	20
Corzine 07/06	2%	98%	23	25	14	23	15
Corzine 04/06	3%	97%	16	26	14	21	22
Corzine 03/06	5%	95%	20	30	10	12	26
Corzine 01/06	4%	96%	19	24	17	14	26
Corzine 10/05	0%	100%	23	25	16	21	15
Corzine 9/05	8%	92%	19	27	17	15	21
Corzine 7/05	7%	94%	23	34	14	15	15
Corzine 4/05	8%	91%	18	27	16	16	23
Corzine 1/05	11%	90%	22	31	12	9	26

Instruction: rotate order, rotate names.

Question: Next November there will be an election for governor. I know it’s early but who would you vote for in a race between… and…? And if it were between… and…? And if it were between … and …?
ROTATE NAMES	All	Dem	Ind	Rep
Jon Corzine, the Democrat	40%	61	19	10
Chris Christie, the Republican	33%	15	40	68
Don’t know/neither/other (vol.)	26%	23	41	22
Jon Corzine, the Democrat	46%	66	20	16
Steve Lonegan, the Republican	28%	10	31	63
Don’t know/neither/other	26%	23	50	20
Jon Corzine, the Democrat	43%	66	18	11
Rick Merkt, the Republican	23%	8	28	52
Don’t know/neither/other (vol.)	33%	26	54	37

Question: How would you rate the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor… [READ]?
	All	Party
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep
Excellent	4%	7	3	1
Good	28%	39	16	12
Only fair	41%	41	42	39
Poor	25%	12	36	47
unsure (vol)	2%	2	4	--

Job rating, previous measures

Approve/disapprove Current

Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor?
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep
Approve	46%	63	26	22
Disapprove	40%	23	52	67
Mixed/unsure	14%	14	22	11

Previous surveys

Instruction: Ask Republicans only (N=250; MoE +/- 6):

Question: In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Republican voters will select a Republican candidate to run for governor. Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election?
Likely	78%
Not likely	18%
Don’t know [VOL]	4%

Question: I know it’s early, but if the Republican primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or…or…?
ROTATE NAMES
Chris Christie	30
lean Christie	2
total Christie	32%
Steve Lonegan	13
lean Lonegan	2
total Lonegan	15%
Rick Merkt	4
lean Merkt	1
total Merkt	5%
Unsure/none/other	47%

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