FDU PublicMind - August 30, 2006 Release

Tables

Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?
[ROTATE NAMES]	Haven't heard of	Heard of	Very Favor- able	Some- what Favor- able	Some- what Un- favor- able	Very Unfavor- able	No opinion
Bob Menendez	25%	76%	10	23	16	13	39
Previous surveys…
Menendez 7/06	24%	76%	13	23	14	11	40
Menendez 4/06	37%	63%	10	29	9	10	42
Menendez 3/06	35%	65%	12	28	6	7	46
Menendez 1/06	40%	60%	12	21	11	6	50
Menendez 9/05	64%	36%	14	27	16	5	38
Menendez 7/05	62%	38%	16	33	10	6	36
Tom Kean, Jr.	17%	83%	15	29	10	4	42
Previous surveys…
Kean 07/06	21%	79%	12	27	12	6	43
Kean 4/06	28%	72%	13	26	10	4	47
Kean, 3/06	38%	62%	12	28	7	5	47
Kean 1/06	38%	62%	12	29	8	4	48
Kean 9/05	54%	46%	16	30	13	3	38

Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?
[ROTATE NAMES]	All	Dem	Ind	Rep	Men	Women	White	Non-White
Bob Menendez
Very Favorable	10	17	5	4	9	11	8	21
Somewhat Favorable	23	32	25	13	24	22	21	31
Somewhat Unfavorable	16	12	11	22	17	14	17	8
Very Unfavorable	13	5	11	22	16	10	14	8
No Opinion	39	36	49	38	34	44	40	31
Tom Kean, Jr.
Very Favorable	15	11	9	23	14	16	16	11
Somewhat Favorable	29	25	22	38	30	28	27	37
Somewhat Unfavorable	10	14	6	7	12	8	10	9
Very Unfavorable	4	4	8	2	5	3	4	6
No Opinion	42	45	55	31	40	45	43	38

Question: Later this year there will be an election for New Jersey's U.S. Senator between Bob Menendez, the Democrat and Tom Kean, Jr, the Republican? So far, how much have you heard or read about this race…[READ]?
		All	Demo- crats	Indepen- dents	Republi- cans	July	April
	A great deal	13	13	15	11	14%	7%
	Some	28	27	17	35	25%	14%
	Just a little	34	31	42	35	35%	51%
	Nothing at all	26	29	26	20	27%	29%

Question: If the election for U.S. Senate were held right now, and you had to make a choice, which candidate would you vote for… or … ? [If choose ask: “Are you sure or might you change your mind?” If “unsure” ask:] Which way do you lean…or…?
Rotate names	All	D	I	R	con	mod	Lib	Men	Wom	July
“Bob Menendez, the Democrat” — sure	24									26%
Mendendez / might change	11									12%
Lean Menendez	4									4%
Total Menendez	39	68	20	9	16	35	65	34	42	43%
“Tom Kean, Jr., the Republican” — sure	25									25%
Kean / might change	16									13%
lean Kean	2									2%
Total Kean	43	19	37	82	68	38	23	49	38	40%
Unsure	17	12	42	7	13	27	12	15	19	15%
Other	2	2	2	1	3	1	1	2	1	3%

Question Ordering: Questions about President Bush and the military action in Iraq were placed either before questions about the Senate race or after the questions about the Senate race.
		All	Ask about President and Iraq Before	Ask about Bush, Iraq After
Bob Menendez, the Democrat		39	41	36
Tom Kean, Jr., The Republican		43	39	47
Unsure		17	19	16
Other		2	1	2
Kean Advantage		4	-2	11
Republican House Candidate	28		23	33
Democratic House Candidate	38		41	35
Unsure	35		36	33
Democratic House Advantage	10		18	2

Question: Which candidate for Senate … or … is best described by…?
rotate names	All		Demo- crats	Indepen- dents	Republicans	July
Honest, trustworthy
Bob Menendez,		15	26	2	6	16
Tom Kean, Jr.,		26	14	22	47	20
neither (vol)		14	13	26	8	13
both (vol)		9	9	12	8	8
don't know (vol)		36	37	38	32	42
Understands the concerns of the average person
Bob Menendez,		23	37	17	9	31
Tom Kean, Jr.,		21	11	17	36	17
neither (vol)		13	11	13	15	9
both (vol)		6	5	7	7	4
don't know (vol)		37	36	45	34	39
Has the background and experience to be a good US Senator
Bob Menendez,		27	39	25	14	30
Tom Kean, Jr.,		23	11	23	39	22
neither (vol)		7	8	7	7	6
both (vol)		7	5	8	8	6
don't know (vol)		36	37	37	32	37

Question: Now, regardless of which candidate you want to win, if you had to guess, who would you say is going to win the election for Senate in November… or …?
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep.	July
Bob Menendez	47	51	46	45	53%
Tom Kean, Jr.	28	27	23	33	29%
Don't Know (vol.)	23	21	29	22	18%

Question: How strongly are your views of this Senate election influenced by national concerns, such as the economy or the military action in Iraq?
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep.	July
Very strongly	46	50	39	46	52%
Somewhat strongly	30	30	33	29	25%
Just a little	11	9	13	13	10%
Not at all	9	7	12	8	8%
Don't know/ref. (vol)	5	5	4	3	4%

Don't know/ref. (vol)