Background Memo
The most
recent polling results by Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind
are the last part of a tracking poll begun
on September
23 and conducted by telephone using a statewide, randomly selected
sample of likely voters in New Jersey. These results are based on re-interviews
of likely voters who in October reported they were undecided. Re-interviews
were conducted from October 29 through October 31. PublicMind attempted
to contact 294 people who indicated in October that they were either
leaning or undecided. Of these 144 were successfully re-contacted. The
demographics of this group of 144 were similar to the demographics
of the entire group of 290. “Undecided likely voters” are registered
voters who report that have voted in the last 4 years and have a good
or excellent chance of voting in this year’s Presidential contest.
The wording and order of the questions were as follows:
First, over the last few years, would you say you have voted in _____ of the elections?
What about this Tuesday's election? What are your chances of voting? Would you say they are excellent, good, fair, or poor?
If the election were held today do you think you would vote for _____ or _____?
[If undecided, ask]...which way do you lean?
[If undecided, ask]…which candidate do you find more acceptable... READ LIST
[If chose Bush, ask] …Would you say you are voting more for Bush or against Kerry?
[If chose Kerry, ask] Would you say you are voting more for Kerry or against Bush?
Is there any chance that you will decide not to vote for President this coming Tuesday?
see also:
Survey Analysis