Tables
Table 1A: Party ID and age
Question: And in the upcoming elections for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to vote for…or….? |
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rotate names |
Party ID |
age |
Oct |
Sep |
June |
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All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
18-29 |
30-44 |
45-59 |
60+ |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
|
Obama |
50 |
47 |
42 |
46% |
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lean Obama |
3 |
4 |
5 |
3% |
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total Obama |
53% |
87 |
30 |
7 |
83 |
53 |
51 |
45 |
50% |
47% |
49% |
McCain |
32 |
33 |
37 |
31% |
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lean McCain |
3 |
4 |
4 |
2% |
|||||||
total McCain |
35% |
6 |
37 |
86 |
15 |
35 |
40 |
39 |
37% |
41% |
33% |
Unsure |
10% |
6 |
27 |
5 |
2 |
9 |
8 |
13 |
11% |
11% |
15% |
neither/other |
2% |
1 |
6 |
1 |
-- |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3% |
2% |
3% |
Table 1B: by economy, race, gender, race and gender
Question: And in the upcoming elections for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to vote for…or….? |
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All |
In six months the economy will be… |
race |
gender |
white x gender |
||||||
better |
Same |
worse |
White |
Non-white |
men |
wom |
men |
Women |
||
Total Obama |
53% |
57 |
55 |
49 |
44 |
80 |
50 |
56 |
41 |
48 |
Total McCain |
35% |
31 |
34 |
37 |
44 |
10 |
42 |
29 |
51 |
37 |
undecided |
10% |
11 |
10 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
13 |
7 |
13 |
other |
2% |
1 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
Table 1C: by Democratic primary preference
Question: And in the upcoming elections for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to vote for…or….? |
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Dem. primary vote N=449 |
|||
All |
Clinton |
Not Clinton |
|
Total Obama |
53% |
85 |
88 |
Total McCain |
35% |
8 |
5 |
undecided |
10% |
5 |
7 |
other |
2% |
1 |
1 |
Table 2
Question: No matter who wins the election, how much will the outcome affect New Jersey…? |
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Party ID |
In 6 months, economy will be… |
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All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
better |
same |
worse |
||
A lot |
57% |
61 |
50 |
56 |
49 |
57 |
66 |
|
Some |
20% |
19 |
19 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
14 |
|
Just a little |
7% |
7 |
5 |
6 |
9 |
6 |
7 |
|
No effect at all |
6% |
4 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
4 |
6 |
|
Don’t know/ref. (vol) |
11% |
10 |
18 |
8 |
11 |
10 |
6 |
Table 3
Question: No matter who wins the election, how much will the outcome affect your life personally…? |
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Party ID |
In 6 months, economy will be… |
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All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
better |
same |
worse |
||
A lot |
47% |
51 |
37 |
48 |
42 |
44 |
57 |
|
Some |
27% |
25 |
26 |
31 |
28 |
31 |
21 |
|
Just a little |
9% |
8 |
7 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
6 |
|
No effect at all |
9% |
8 |
17 |
6 |
12 |
8 |
7 |
|
Don’t know/ref. (vol) |
8% |
9 |
13 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
9 |
Table 4
Question: Six months from now do you expect the economy will be better, worse, or about the same? |
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rotate names |
Party ID |
Oct. |
|||||||||||
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
7th |
|||||||||
Better |
31 |
32 |
28 |
30 |
31% |
||||||||
Worse |
20 |
19 |
26 |
19 |
17% |
||||||||
About the same |
36 |
37 |
33 |
37 |
42% |
||||||||
Depends (vol.) |
8 |
6 |
7 |
11 |
3% |
||||||||
don’t know (vol) |
5 |
6 |
6 |
3 |
7% |
Table 5
Question US1: In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track? |
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All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
|
Right direction |
13% |
12 |
10 |
17 |
15 |
11 |
Wrong track |
78% |
82 |
80 |
68 |
75 |
80 |
Unsure |
9% |
6 |
10 |
14 |
10 |
8 |
Oct. 7th |
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Right direction |
15% |
10 |
15 |
22 |
18 |
13 |
Wrong track |
78% |
86 |
76 |
69 |
76 |
79 |
Unsure |
7% |
4 |
9 |
9 |
6 |
8 |
Sept 08 |
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Right direction |
19% |
9 |
16 |
33 |
21 |
17 |
Wrong track |
72% |
87 |
70 |
52 |
68 |
75 |
Unsure |
9% |
4 |
13 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
June 08 |
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Right direction |
15% |
10 |
14 |
26 |
14 |
16 |
Wrong track |
74% |
83 |
76 |
60 |
77 |
72 |
Unsure |
10% |
7 |
10 |
14 |
9 |
12 |
April-08 |
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Right direction |
18% |
11% |
9% |
34% |
22% |
15% |
Wrong track |
69% |
82% |
70% |
49% |
67% |
72% |
Unsure/don’t know |
12% |
7% |
21% |
17% |
12% |
13% |
Feb. ‘08 |
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Right direction |
21% |
13 |
22 |
34 |
24 |
18 |
Wrong track |
66% |
80 |
60 |
49 |
68 |
65 |
Unsure |
13% |
6 |
17 |
17 |
8 |
17 |
Jan-08 |
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Right direction |
19% |
10 |
17 |
33 |
22 |
16 |
Wrong track |
74% |
87 |
74 |
54 |
72 |
76 |
Unsure |
8% |
4 |
9 |
13 |
6 |
8 |
Question US2: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? |
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All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Oct 7th |
Sep ‘08 |
Jun ‘08 |
Apr ‘08 |
Feb ‘08 |
Jan 08 |
Oct '07 |
Sep ‘07 |
Jun ‘07 |
|
Approve |
16% |
4 |
12 |
37 |
17% |
22 |
18 |
26 |
23 |
23 |
26 |
27 |
24 |
Disapprove |
76% |
93 |
75 |
50 |
76% |
71 |
75 |
68 |
65 |
69 |
66 |
65 |
68 |
Unsure/ref. |
8% |
3 |
14 |
12 |
7% |
7 |
7 |
6 |
11 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
Question: [Ask Democrats and lean Democrat only] Who did you vote for way back in February in the presidential primary election…? |
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All |
men |
women |
|
Clinton |
31% |
24 |
37 |
Obama |
33% |
37 |
30 |
Someone else |
4% |
6 |
2 |
Didn’t vote |
25% |
29 |
22 |
Don’t recall |
5% |
2 |
7 |
Ref. |
2% |
3 |
1 |
Question: [If employed, ask…] How worried are you that you might lose your job in the next 12 months…? |
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N=562 MoE = +/- 4 |
ALL |
18-29 |
30-44 |
45-59 |
60+ |
Oct 7 |
June |
|
|
Very worried |
14% |
12 |
15 |
16 |
10 |
12% |
7% |
|
Somewhat worried |
21% |
17 |
27 |
20 |
15 |
18% |
17% |
|
Not very worried |
20% |
9 |
19 |
23 |
17 |
18% |
21% |
|
Not at all worried |
44% |
62 |
38 |
41 |
57 |
52% |
53% |
|
Don’t know/ref. (vol) |
1% |
-- |
2 |
-- |
1 |
1% |
2% |
see also: