FDU PublicMind - March 8, 2007 Release

Tables

Question: In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track?
	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right direction	22%	12	18	41	25	19
Wrong track	65%	82	66	43	61	69
Don't know/Unsure	13%	7	16	16	13	12
*January 2007*	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right direction	23%	15	12	46	30	17
Wrong track	64%	78	70	39	60	68
Don't know/Unsure	13%	7	18	15	11	14
*November 2006*	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right direction	22%	8	16	46	24	20
Wrong track	69%	90	71	40	68	70
Don't know/Unsure	9%	3	13	14	8	10
*October 2006*	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right direction	26	8	20	51	31	21`
Wrong track	64	86	64	37	59	68
Don't know/Unsure	11	5	16	12	10	11
*September 2006*	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right direction	25%	11	11	50	28	22
Wrong track	65%	82	73	40	64	67
Don't know/Unsure	10%	7	16	10	8	11
*July 2006*	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right direction	24%	9	15	48	31	18
Wrong track	65%	83	75	38	59	71
Don't know/Unsure	11%	8	11	14	10	12
*March 2006*	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right direction	26%	10	23	49	33	20
Wrong track	62%	82	66	35	55	69
Don't know/Unsure	12%	8	11	16	12	12

Question: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
	All	Iraq was a mistake	Iraq was right thing	Men	Women	Jan	Nov	Oct	Aug
Approve	33	79	12	38	28	30%	32%	34%	35%
Disapprove	61	14	84	57	65	60%	63%	59%	57%
DK/mixed	5	7	4	5	6	10%	5%	7%	7%

Question: Now, turning to Iraq… How well is the U.S. military effort in Iraq going…?
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep	Jan ‘07	Nov ‘06	Oct ‘06	Jul ‘06	Jan ‘06	Sep ‘05	Jul ‘05	Apr ‘05
Very well	5%	2	4	9	4	6	8	11	15	13	13	14
Fairly well	22%	8	19	42	21	21	25	28	30	30	33	38
Not too well	32%	35	32	30	35	30	30	28	27	32	29	26
Not at all well	36%	50	39	12	35	40	34	30	21	26	25	22
Unsure	6%	5	5	7	5	3	4	3	7	--	--	--

Question: Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake?
		Party			Gender		Jan	Nov	Sept
	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right thing	29%	8	26	64	36	24	31%	30%	33%
Mistake	66%	91	67	30	61	70	63%	65%	59%
Don't know (vol.)	5%	2	7	5	3	6	7%	5%	8%

Question: How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as President—excellent, good, only fair, or poor?
	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	7%	0	4	18	9	5
Good	19%	7	18	36	22	17
Only fair	26%	21	29	30	24	28
Poor	46%	70	46	14	44	48
Don't know/Unsure (vol)	1%	1	2	1	1	2
Jan-07	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	6%	1	3	13	6	5
Good	19%	4	17	44	21	17
Only fair	30%	25	38	32	31	28
Poor	45%	70	39	10	41	48
Don't know/Unsure (vol)	1%	--	2	1	--	2
Nov-06	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	7%	--	5	19	7	8
Good	19%	4	22	38	20	18
Only fair	24%	19	29	29	23	25
Poor	48%	76	43	14	50	47
Don't know/Unsure (vol)	1%	1	1	1	--	2
Oct-06	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	9%	1	7	19	10	7
Good	20%	5	24	39	25	16
Only fair	25%	16	33	33	26	24
Poor	45%	78	33	9	39	50
Don't know/Unsure (vol)	2%	1	3	--	1	2
Aug-06	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	10%	3	3	21	9	10
Good	21%	9	12	42	22	20
Only fair	26%	24	37	24	29	23
Poor	43%	63	46	13	40	45
Don't know/Unsure (vol)	1%	1	2	--	--	2
Jul-06	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	7%	1	2	16	7	6
Good	22%	5	17	47	27	19
Only fair	27%	22	38	28	23	30
Poor	44%	71	42	9	43	44
Don't know/Unsure (vol)	1%	1	1	--	--	1

Question: [Ask of Democrats and lean Democrats] Let me ask you quickly about some possible Democratic candidates for President. . If you haven't heard of any one of them, just say so. Have you heard of … [ROTATE LIST]? Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of … [MATCH ROTATION]?
	Haven't heard of	Heard of	N=	Favor- able	Unfavor- able	Un- sure	Approx- imate Ratio
Hillary Clinton	0%	100%	368	75	17	8	4:1
Barack Obama	12	88	324	73	9	18	8:1
John Edwards	11	89	326	69	13	19	5:1
Joe Biden	29	71	260	49	24	27	2:1
Bill Richardson	54	46	169	42	20	38	2:1
Chris Dodd	48	52	191	37	20	43	2:1
Dennis Kucinich	66	34	127	37	22	41	5:3

Now of all those candidates, which one do you think you'd be most likely to support for the Presidential nomination? [In a random selection process, 1/2 of Democratic respondents were asked, earlier in the study, to estimate what percent of New Jersey residents ware African American; ½ of Democratic respondents were asked what percent of New Jersey residents are women.]
N=368	March ALL	Not Primed	Race Primed	Gender Primed	January ALL	Percent change
Hillary Clinton	46%	55%	39%	42%	41%	5
Barack Obama	18%	17%	14%	16%	15%	3
John Edwards	10%	6%	14%	12%	13%	-3
Joe Biden	5%	4%	8%	6%	4%	1
Bill Richardson	3%	3%	5%	_	1%	2
Chris Dodd	1%	_	2%	1%	0%	1
Dennis Kucinich	1%	_	3%	3%	1%	0
John Kerry	dropped	_	_	_	5%	-
Tom Vilsack	dropped	_	_	_	1%	-
Wesley Clark	n/a	_	_	_	1%	-
Other	2%	3%	-	2%	2%	0
Don't know	14%	11%	15%	16%	16%	-2

Question: [Ask of Republicans and lean Republicans only] Let me ask you quickly about some possible Republican candidates for President. . If you haven't heard of any one of them, just say so. Have you heard of … [ROTATE LIST]? Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of … [MATCH ROTATION]?
	Haven't heard of	Heard of	N=	Favor- able	Unfavor- able	Un- sure	Approx- imate Ratio
Rudy Giuliani	2	98	273	87	8	5	11:1
John McCain	3	97	268	62	21	17	3:1
Mitt Romney	33	67	186	48	17	35	3:1
Tommy Thompson	63	37	104	28	19	53	1.5:1
Sam Brownback	70	30	84	25	22	53	1:1
Jim Gilmore	84	16	43	21	23	56	1:1
Mike Huckabee	64	36	100	23	8	69	3:1

Now of all those candidates, which one do you think you'd be most likely to support for the Presidential nomination?
N=278	March	January	Percent change
Rudy Giuliani	59%	48%	+11
John McCain	20%	23%	-3
Mitt Romney	6%	2%	+4
Tommy Thompson	0	--	-
Sam Brownback	2%	--	-
Jim Gilmore	1%	--	-
Mike Huckabee	0	--	-
Other	5%	2%	-
Don't know	8%	12%	-

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