New Jersey’s likely voters have not yet endorsed Democrat Jon Corzine’s bid to move from the US Senate to the New Jersey statehouse. According to the most recent results from Fairleigh Dickinson University’s tracking poll, Corzine leads among likely voters by only 44-40% (with leaners included).
Forrester’s share of the vote is relatively stable compared to past results of this poll as he maintains support from 40% of the most likely voters. On the other hand, Corzine, who has gotten 47% to 48% of the vote in a series of PublicMind polls, has a slightly declining share. Among those considered likely voters, only 40% weighed in with a favorable view of the Democratic Senator.
Male voters continue to favor Forrester (48-39%), but by a slightly larger margin than in previous surveys, while married women continue to favor Corzine (42-39%), though by a smaller margin than in previous surveys. Finally, about a third (36%) of likely independent voters are not committed to either major candidate.
“The math has favored Corzine all along,” said Peter Woolley, director of the poll, “but he hasn’t closed the deal.”
Meanwhile, a record low 22% of likely voters say the state is headed in the right direction. But of the 62% who say the state is “on the wrong track” only half say they’re voting for Forrester.
The PublicMind poll of 421 likely voters statewide was conducted by telephone from October 25 through October 31 and has a margin of error of +/-5 percentage points. PublicMind continues to conduct interviews through the final week of the campaign.
Peter Woolley 973.670.3239
Krista Jenkins 973.443.8390
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