US1. In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track?

April ‘04

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

38%

13

35

65

43

33

Wrong track

48%

73

52

21

46

50

Don’t know/Unsure

14%

14

14

14

11

17

January ‘04

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

47%

25

47

75

54

41

Wrong track

38%

56

37

16

33

42

Don’t know/Unsure

15%

19

16

10

14

17

Sept ‘03

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

36%

20

30

61

43

31

Wrong track

52%

72

52

25

45

58

Don’t know/Unsure

12%

9

18

14

12

12

Last April ‘03

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

55%

35

51

77

60

50

Wrong track

32%

49

34

14

30

34

Don’t know/Unsure

13%

17

15

9

10

17

US2. How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as President—excellent, good, only fair, or poor?

April ‘04

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

15%

1

10

31

19

12

Good

28%

11

27

44

27

28

Only fair

27%

35

36

17

26

29

Poor

29%

50

25

7

28

30

Don’t know/Unsure

1%

1

2

--

--

2

January ‘04

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

17%

4

11

36

23

12

Good

34%

17

44

53

33

36

Only fair

28%

45

29

7

24

32

Poor

19%

33

13

4

19

19

Don’t know/Unsure

2%

2

4

--

2

2

Sept ‘03

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

16%

3

7

36

22

11

Good

28%

18

35

40

29

28

Only fair

29%

36

41

17

24

33

Poor

26%

43

16

6

24

27

Don’t know/Unsure

1%

1

1

2

2

1

Last April ‘03

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

28%

6

23

52

32

24

Good

34%

32

36

37

33

35

Only fair

21%

33

21

9

20

23

Poor

16%

28

15

2

14

17

Don’t know/Unsure

1%

1

4

0

1

2

US3a. [Ask of half the sample] Later this year, there will be an election for President of the United States. If the election were held today do you think you would vote for …. or …. [ROTATE] ? If "unsure," or "don’t know" ask "which way do you lean?"

April ’04/Base=405

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

George Bush, the Republican Candidate

40%

10

26

78

47

35

lean Bush

7%

2

20

6

5

8

John Kerry, the Democratic candidate

41%

75

31

9

40

42

lean Kerry

7%

8

13

3

3

10

Other/Don’t know (vol)

4%

5

9

4

5

5

US3b. [Ask of half the sample] Later this year, there will be an election for President of the United States. If the election were held today do you think you would vote for …. or …. [ROTATE] or Ralph Nader, a third party candidate? If "unsure," or "don’t know" ask "which way do you lean?"

April ’04/Base=397

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

George Bush, the Republican Candidate

42%

8

33

80

47

38

lean Bush

6%

3

7

5

5

7

John Kerry, the Democratic candidate

37%

69

22

8

34

38

lean Kerry

7%

10

22

2

5

9

Ralph Nader

4%

5

7

3

5

4

lean Nader

1%

2

--

--

1

1

Other/Unsure (vol)

3%

3

7

1

3

2

Generic Comparison: As you know, there will be an election for President next year. If the election were held today, and George Bush were the Republican candidate, would you vote for him or would you vote for his Democratic opponent, or someone else?

January ‘04

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Bush

40%

9

33

82

45

35

Democratic opponent

32%

60

14

4

28

35

Someone else [don’t read]

10%

14

11

4

12

9

Unsure [don’t read]

18%

16

43

10

15

21

Sept. ‘03

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Bush

36%

11

27

72

43

30

Democrat

29%

51

11

7

23

33

Someone else [don’t read]

17%

21

26

8

15

19

Unsure [don’t read]

18%

17

35

13

18

18

US4 Now turning to a different matter… How closely have you been following news about the war in Iraq?

How well are things going in Iraq…

All

Very well

Fairly well

Not too well

Not well at all

Very closely

50%

71

42

42

64

Somewhat closely

42%

22

48

48

33

Not too closely

8%

6

9

10

2

Not at all closely

1%

2

--

--

1

US5 How well is the U.S. military effort in Iraq going…?

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Jan ‘03

Sept. ‘03

Change from Jan. to April.

Very well

17%

11

16

24

21%

21

-4

Fairly well

38%

23

41

54

48%

40

-10

Not to well

27%

40

26

15

19%

25

+8

Not at all well

12%

21

4

3

8%

10

+4

Unsure

6%

5

14

4

3%

4

+2

US6 Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake?

Party

President’s Job Rating

Gender

April ‘04

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Men

Women

Right thing

47

22

42

75

95

74

33

9

54

42

Mistake

43

69

48

16

3

11

54

86

39

47

Don’t know (vol.)

10

9

10

9

2

15

14

6

7

12

Jan. ‘04

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Men

Women

Right thing

55%

35

57

82

94

77

34

15

58

52

Mistake

37%

57

33

12

3

11

56

83

35

38

Don’t know (vol.)

8%

8

10

6

3

11

10

2

7

9

Sept ‘03

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Men

Women

Right thing

54%

34

52

80

97

84

36

15

62

47

Mistake

40%

59

40

15

2

10

51

82

33

45

Don’t know (vol.)

6%

7

8

5

2

6

12

3

4

8

Last April ‘03

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Men

Women

Right thing

67%

49

66

86

97

84

45

11

73

62

Mistake

23%

40

26

6

2

7

37

79

20

27

Don’t Know (vol.)

10%

10

8

8

2

9

19

10

8

12