Question: In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track?

July ‘04

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

36%

14

31

64

40

34

Wrong track

51%

77

49

23

49

53

Don’t know/Unsure

12%

 9

20

13

11

13

April ’04        

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

38%

13

35

65

43

33

Wrong track

48%

73

52

21

46

50

Don’t know/Unsure

14%

14

14

14

11

17

January ‘04

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

47%

25

47

75

54

41

Wrong track

38%

56

37

16

33

42

Don’t know/Unsure

15%

19

16

10

14

17

Sept ‘03

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

36%

20

30

61

43

31

Wrong track

52%

72

52

25

45

58

Don’t know/Unsure

12%

  9

18

14

12

12

Last April ‘03

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Right direction

55%

35

51

77

60

50

Wrong track

32%

49

34

14

30

34

Don’t know/Unsure

13%

17

15

  9

10

17

Question: How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as President—excellent, good, only fair, or poor?

July ‘04

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

16%

 2

 9

34

19

13

Good

26%

11

21

43

25

27

Only fair

27%

33

39

18

26

28

Poor

29%

52

24

 4

27

30

Don’t know/Unsure

  2%

  1

 7

 1

 3

 2

April ‘04

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

15%

 1

10

31

19

12

Good

28%

11

27

44

27

28

Only fair

27%

35

36

17

26

29

Poor

29%

50

25

  7

28

30

Don’t know/Unsure

  1%

 1

  2

--

--

  2

January ‘04

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

17%

  4

11

36

23

12

Good

34%

17

44

53

33 

36

Only fair

28%

45

29

  7

24

32

Poor

19%

33

13

  4

19

19

Don’t know/Unsure

  2%

  2

  4

--

  2

  2

Sept ‘03

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

16%

  3

  7

36

22

11

Good

28%

18

35

40

29

28

Only fair

29%

36

41

17

24

33

Poor

26%

43

16

  6

24

27

Don’t know/Unsure

 1%

  1

  1

  2

 2

 1

Last April ‘03

All

Dem

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

Excellent

28%

  6

23

52

32

24

Good

34%

32

36

37

33

35

Only fair

21%

33

21

  9

20

23

Poor

16%

28

15

  2

14

17

Don’t know/Unsure

  1%

  1

  4

  0

  1

  2

Question:  Later this year, there will be an election for President of the United States. If the election were held today do you think you would vote for …. or …. [ROTATE] ?  If “unsure,” or “don’t know” ask “which way do you lean?”

July  ’04/Base=834

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Men

Women

George Bush, the Republican Candidate

41%

 9

30

81

46

36

      lean Bush

 2%

 0

  3

 5

 3

 2

John Kerry, the Democratic candidate

42%

77

32

 6

38

44

     lean Kerry

 3%

 5

  6

 1

 2

 4

Nader or Other (vol.)

 2%

 2

  6

 2

 3

 2

Don’t know  (vol.)

10%

 8

24

 6

 9

11

April  ’04/Base=405

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.