Background Memo  

The most recent survey by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind was conducted by telephone from Feb. 25, 2009 through March 2, 2009 using a randomly selected sample of 751 registered voters statewide.  The margin of error for 751 randomly selected respondents is +/- 4 percentage points.  Survey results are also subject to non-sampling error. This kind of error, which cannot be measured, arises from a number of factors including, but not limited to, non-response (eligible individuals refusing to be interviewed), question wording, the order in which questions are asked, and variations among interviewers. PublicMind interviews are conducted by professionally trained interviewers use a CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) system. Random selection is achieved by computerized random-digit dialing. This technique gives every person with a land-line phone number (including those with unlisted numbers) an equal chance of being selected. Results are mathematically weighted to match known demographics.

Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track?

Instruction: ask at random any five names: Jon Corzine, Chris Christie, Rick Merkt, Steve Lonegan, Brian Levine, Richard Codey, Cory Booker.

Question:  Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven’t just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?

How would you rate the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor…  [READ]?

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor?

Instruction: Ask Republicans only

In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Republican voters will select a Republican candidate to run for governor.  Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election?

Question: I know it’s early, but if the Republican primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or…or…?

Instruction: Ask Democrats only

In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Democrats will select a Democratic candidate to run for governor.  Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election?

Question: I know it’s early, but if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…READ?

Q: And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or … ?

 

see also:
Survey Analysis
Tabular Results

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Copyright © 2009, Fairleigh Dickinson University. All rights reserved. FDU PublicMind Poll [Latest update 090304]