Tables
Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track? |
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All |
Party |
Public employee household |
||||||||
D |
I |
R |
yes |
no |
||||||
Right direction |
25% |
35 |
15 |
15 |
18 |
27 |
||||
Wrong track |
59% |
46 |
69 |
74 |
68 |
57 |
||||
Unsure |
16% |
19 |
16 |
11 |
14 |
16 |
Right track/wrong track trend
Jan |
Nov |
Oct |
Sept |
June |
Apr |
Feb |
Jan |
Oct |
Sep |
Jun |
May |
Mar |
|
09 |
08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘08 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘07 |
‘06 |
|
Right direc- |
25% |
24 |
23 |
23 |
25 |
26 |
25 |
28 |
30 |
38 |
36 |
42 |
39 |
Wrong track |
65% |
65 |
67 |
67 |
64 |
66 |
65 |
61 |
59 |
49 |
50 |
44 |
47 |
Unsure |
10% |
10 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
12 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
Instruction: ask at random any five names: Jon Corzine, Chris Christie, Rick Merkt, Steve Lonegan, Brian Levine, Richard Codey, Cory Booker.
Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven’t just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat? |
|||||||
N=542 / MoE +/-4 |
Haven’t heard of |
Heard of |
Very |
Some- |
Some- |
Very |
Un- |
Jon Corzine (all) |
1% |
(99%) |
10% |
28% |
22% |
26% |
13% |
(Demo- |
1 |
(99) |
16 |
37 |
16 |
14 |
15 |
Previous Surveys… |
|||||||
Corzine 01/09 |
2% |
(98%) |
14% |
28% |
21% |
23% |
12% |
Corzine 11/08 |
3% |
97% |
13% |
27% |
17% |
26% |
14% |
Corzine 09/08 |
2% |
98% |
12 |
30 |
18 |
27 |
11 |
Corzine 06/08 |
2% |
98% |
17 |
24 |
19 |
24 |
14 |
N=537/+/- 4 |
Haven’t heard of |
Heard of |
Very |
Some- |
Some- |
Very |
No opinion |
Richard Codey |
25% |
18% |
23% |
8% |
6% |
20% |
|
Democrats only |
31 |
22 |
21 |
7 |
2 |
16 |
|
Codey 09/09 |
27% |
24% |
25% |
7% |
4% |
14% |
Haven’t heard of |
Heard of |
Very |
Some- |
Some- |
Very |
N/MoE |
|
Cory Booker |
47% |
13% |
19% |
15% |
4% |
2% |
532/+/- 4 |
Democrats only |
48 |
15 |
22 |
13 |
2 |
1 |
247/+/- 6 |
Booker 09/08 |
44% |
17% |
15% |
16% |
5% |
3% |
583/+/- 4 |
Haven’t heard of |
Heard of |
Very |
Some- |
Some- |
Very |
N/MoE |
|
Chris Christie |
43% |
12% |
18% |
22% |
4% |
2% |
526/+/- 4 |
Republicans only |
33 |
20 |
20 |
23 |
3 |
-- |
180/+/- 7 |
Christie 01/09 |
56% |
11% |
12% |
15% |
4% |
2% |
695/+/- 4 |
Christie 09/08 |
60% |
2% |
3% |
14% |
11% |
9% |
572/+/- 4 |
Steve Lonegan |
67% |
5% |
9% |
16% |
2% |
1% |
541/+/-4 |
Republicans only |
53 |
10 |
13 |
21 |
2 |
1 |
175/+/- 7 |
Lonegan 01/09 |
71% |
3% |
6% |
12% |
4% |
4% |
688/+/- 4 |
Lonegan 09/08 |
76% |
2% |
1% |
12% |
5% |
4% |
569/+/- 4 |
Rick Merkt |
91% |
-- |
2% |
5% |
2% |
-- |
535/+/-4 |
Republicans only |
91 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
2 |
-- |
183/+/- 7 |
Merkt 01/09 |
89% |
1% |
3% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
694/+/- 4 |
Merkt 10/08 |
89% |
1% |
1% |
7% |
2% |
1% |
471/+/- 4 |
Brian Levine |
83% |
1% |
2% |
11% |
2% |
1% |
538/+/-4 |
Republicans only |
83 |
-- |
1 |
13 |
3 |
-- |
180/+/- 7 |
TRIAL HEATS: CORZINE VS REPUBLICANS
Next November there will be an election for governor. I know it’s early but who would you vote for in a race between… and…? And if it were between… and…? And if it were between … and …? [ROTATE ORDER; ROTATE NAMES; ASK AT RANDOM ½ MERKT, ½ LEVINE] |
|||||
Ask all: |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
January |
Jon Corzine, the Democrat |
32% |
55 |
14 |
9 |
40% |
Christ Christie, the Republican |
41% |
17 |
50 |
73 |
33% |
Don’t know/neither/other (vol.) |
27% |
28 |
36 |
18 |
26% |
Ask all: |
|||||
Jon Corzine, the Democrat |
36% |
62 |
17 |
10 |
46% |
Steve Lonegan, the Republican |
32% |
10 |
35 |
64 |
28% |
Don’t know/neither/other |
31% |
29 |
47 |
26 |
26% |
Ask ½: (n=375; MoE=+/-5) |
|||||
Jon Corzine, the Democrat |
37% |
60 |
19 |
13 |
43% |
Rick Merkt, the Republican |
28% |
10 |
22 |
58 |
23% |
Don’t know/neither/other (vol.) |
35% |
29 |
60 |
29 |
33% |
Ask ½: (n=375; MoE=+/-5) |
|||||
Jon Corzine, the Democrat |
38% |
61 |
25 |
15 |
|
Brian Levine, the Republican |
27% |
11 |
32 |
48 |
|
Don’t know/neither/other (vol.) |
36% |
29 |
43 |
37 |
Job rating, current
How would you rate the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor… [READ]? |
||||||
|
All |
Party |
||||
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
||||
Excellent |
2% |
2 |
-- |
1 |
||
Good |
28% |
41 |
19 |
13 |
||
Only fair |
40% |
40 |
43 |
40 |
||
Poor |
28% |
13 |
36 |
45 |
||
unsure (vol) |
3% |
4 |
2 |
1 |
Job rating, previous measures
2009 |
2008 |
2007 |
2006 |
|||||||||||||
Jan |
Nov |
Oct |
Sep |
Jun |
Apr |
Feb |
Jan |
Oct |
Sep |
Jun |
Mar |
Jan |
Nov |
Oct |
Sep |
|
Excellent |
4% |
6 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
Good |
28% |
28 |
27 |
28 |
27 |
29 |
28 |
29 |
37 |
37 |
37 |
39 |
34 |
40 |
40 |
33 |
Only fair |
41% |
39 |
41 |
41 |
41 |
36 |
38 |
39 |
38 |
39 |
36 |
39 |
38 |
30 |
32 |
33 |
Poor |
25% |
24 |
25 |
25 |
24 |
30 |
27 |
23 |
17 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
17 |
17 |
14 |
20 |
Unsure |
2% |
4 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
7 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
Approve/disapprove Current
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor? |
|||||||||
|
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Public employee household |
||||
yes |
no |
||||||||
Approve |
40% |
58 |
27 |
22 |
31 |
43 |
|||
Disapprove |
46% |
28 |
52 |
68 |
56 |
44 |
|||
Mixed/unsure |
13% |
14 |
21 |
10 |
12 |
13 |
Approve/disapprove, previous surveys
2009 |
2008 |
2007 |
2006 |
||||||||||||||
Jan |
Nov |
Oct |
Sept |
Jun |
Apr |
Feb |
Jan 30th |
Jan 7th |
Oct |
Sep |
Jun |
Mar |
Jan |
Nov |
Oct |
Sep |
|
Approve |
46% |
46 |
45 |
41 |
40 |
44 |
42 |
41 |
48 |
51 |
54 |
50 |
55 |
51 |
58 |
56 |
51 |
Disapprove |
40% |
37 |
39 |
43 |
41 |
45 |
43 |
39 |
32 |
29 |
25 |
27 |
25 |
29 |
27 |
28 |
31 |
mixed/DK |
14% |
17 |
17 |
16 |
19 |
11 |
16 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
21 |
23 |
20 |
19 |
15 |
16 |
18 |
Instruction: Ask Republicans only (N=253; MoE +/- 6):
In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Republican voters will select a Republican candidate to run for governor. Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election? |
||
Likely |
74% |
|
Not likely |
19% |
|
Don’t know [VOL] |
4% |
|
Not registered as Rep. [Skip to next series] |
2% |
Question: I know it’s early, but if the Republican primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or…or…? |
||
ROTATE NAMES |
January |
|
Chris Christie |
39 |
30 |
lean Christie |
4 |
2 |
total Christie |
43% |
32% |
Steve Lonegan |
14 |
13 |
lean Lonegan |
1 |
2 |
total Lonegan |
15% |
15% |
Rick Merkt |
1 |
4 |
lean Merkt |
-- |
1 |
total Merkt |
1% |
5% |
Brian Levine |
2 |
|
lean Levin |
-- |
|
Total Levine |
2% |
|
Unsure/none/other |
39% |
47% |
Instruction: Ask Democrats only (N=361; MoE +/- 5):
In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Democrats will select a Democratic candidate to run for governor. Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election? |
||
Likely |
77% |
|
Not likely |
18% |
|
Don’t know [VOL] |
4% |
|
Not registered as Dem. [Skip to next series] |
1% |
Q: I know it’s early, but if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…READ? |
|||||||||
ROTATE NAMES |
|||||||||
Jon Corzine |
54 |
||||||||
lean Corzine |
5 |
||||||||
total Corzine |
59% |
||||||||
Ken Balut |
1 |
||||||||
lean Balut |
-- |
||||||||
total Balut |
1% |
||||||||
Carl Bergmanson |
2 |
||||||||
lean Bergmanson |
-- |
||||||||
total Bergmanson |
2% |
||||||||
Jeff Boss |
2 |
||||||||
lean Boss |
-- |
||||||||
Total Boss |
2% |
||||||||
Unsure/none/other |
36% |
||||||||
Q: And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or … ? |
|||||||||
ROTATE NAMES |
|||||||||
Jon Corzine |
49 |
||||||||
lean Corzine |
2 |
||||||||
total Corzine |
51% |
||||||||
Richard Codey |
29 |
||||||||
lean Codey |
3 |
||||||||
total Codey |
32% |
||||||||
Don’t know/neither |
17% |
||||||||
Question: And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or … ? |
|||||||||
ROTATE NAMES |
|||||||||
Jon Corzine |
51 |
||||||||
lean Corzine |
3 |
||||||||
total Corzine |
54% |
||||||||
Cory Booker |
22 |
||||||||
lean Booker |
1 |
||||||||
total Booker |
23% |
||||||||
Don’t know/neither |
23% |
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# # #
see also: