Tables

Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track?

All

Party

Public employee household

D

I

R

yes

no

Right direction

25%

35

15

15

18

27

Wrong track

59%

46

69

74

68

57

Unsure

16%

19

16

11

14

16

Right track/wrong track trend

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sept

June

Apr

Feb

Jan

Oct

Sep

Jun

May

Mar

09

08

‘08

‘08

‘08

‘08

‘08

‘08

‘07

‘07

‘07

‘07

‘06

Right direc-
tion

25%

24

23

23

25

26

25

28

30

38

36

42

39

Wrong track

65%

65

67

67

64

66

65

61

59

49

50

44

47

Unsure

10%

10

10

11

12

  9

10

11

12

12

14

14

15

Instruction: ask at random any five names: Jon Corzine, Chris Christie, Rick Merkt, Steve Lonegan, Brian Levine, Richard Codey, Cory Booker.

Question:  Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven’t just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?

N=542 / MoE +/-4

Haven’t heard of

Heard of

Very
Favor-
able

Some-
what
Favor-able

Some-
what
Un-
favor-
able

Very
Un-
favor-
able

Un-
sure

Jon Corzine (all)

1%

(99%)

10%

28%

22%

26%

13%

(Demo-
crats only)

1

(99)

16

37

16

14

15

Previous Surveys…

Corzine 01/09

2%

(98%)

14%

28%

21%

23%

12%

Corzine 11/08

3%

97%

13%

27%

17%

26%

14%

Corzine 09/08

2%

98%

12

30

18

27

11

Corzine 06/08

2%

98%

17

24

19

24

14



N=537/+/- 4

Haven’t heard of

Heard of

Very
Favor-
able

Some-
what
Favor-able

Some-
what
Un-
favor-
able

Very
Un-
favor-
able

No opinion

Richard Codey

25%

18%

23%

8%

6%

20%

Democrats only

31

22

21

7

2

16

Codey 09/09

27%

24%

25%

7%

4%

14%



Haven’t heard of

Heard of

Very
Favor-
able

Some-
what
Favor-able

Some-
what
Un-
favor-
able

Very
Un-
favor-
able

N/MoE

Cory Booker

47%

13%

19%

15%

4%

2%

532/+/- 4

Democrats only

48

15

22

13

2

1

247/+/- 6

Booker 09/08

44%

17%

15%

16%

5%

3%

583/+/- 4

Haven’t heard of

Heard of

Very
Favor-
able

Some-
what
Favor-able

Some-
what
Un-
favor-
able

Very
Un-
favor-
able

N/MoE

Chris Christie

43%

12%

18%

22%

4%

2%

526/+/- 4

Republicans only

33

20

20

23

3

--

180/+/- 7

Christie 01/09

56%

11%

12%

15%

4%

2%

695/+/- 4

Christie 09/08

60%

2%

3%

14%

11%

9%

572/+/- 4

Steve Lonegan

67%

5%

9%

16%

2%

1%

541/+/-4

Republicans only

53

10

13

21

2

1

175/+/- 7

Lonegan 01/09

71%

3%

6%

12%

4%

4%

688/+/- 4

Lonegan 09/08

76%

2%

1%

12%

5%

4%

569/+/- 4

Rick Merkt

91%

--

2%

5%

2%

--

535/+/-4

Republicans only

91

1

1

5

2

--

183/+/- 7

Merkt 01/09

89%

1%

3%

5%

2%

1%

694/+/- 4

Merkt 10/08

89%

1%

1%

7%

2%

1%

471/+/- 4

Brian Levine

83%

1%

2%

11%

2%

1%

538/+/-4

Republicans only

83

--

1

13

3

--

180/+/- 7



TRIAL HEATS: CORZINE VS REPUBLICANS

Next November there will be an election for governor. I know it’s early but who would you vote for in a race between… and…?  And if it were between… and…?  And if it were between … and …? [ROTATE ORDER; ROTATE NAMES; ASK AT RANDOM ½  MERKT, ½ LEVINE]

Ask all:

All

Dem

Ind

Rep

January

Jon Corzine, the Democrat

32%

55

14

 9

40%

Christ Christie, the Republican

41%

17

50

73

33%

Don’t know/neither/other (vol.)

27%

28

36

18

26%

Ask all:

         

Jon Corzine, the Democrat

36%

62

17

10

46%

Steve Lonegan, the Republican

32%

10

35

64

28%

Don’t know/neither/other

31%

29

47

26

26%

Ask ½: (n=375; MoE=+/-5)

         

Jon Corzine, the Democrat

37%

60

19

13

43%

Rick Merkt, the Republican

28%

10

22

58

23%

Don’t know/neither/other (vol.)

35%

29

60

29

33%

Ask ½: (n=375; MoE=+/-5)

         

Jon Corzine, the Democrat

38%

61

25

15

 

Brian Levine, the Republican

27%

11

32

48

 

Don’t know/neither/other (vol.)

36%

29

43

37

 

Job rating, current

How would you rate the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor…  [READ]?

 

All

Party

Dem

Ind

Rep

Excellent

 2%

  2

--

 1

Good

28%

41

19

13

Only fair

40%

40

43

40

Poor

28%

13

36

45

unsure (vol)

  3%

  4

  2

  1

Job rating, previous measures

2009

2008

2007

2006

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sep

Jun

Apr

Feb

Jan

Oct

Sep

Jun

Mar

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sep

Excellent

 4%

  6

  4

  3

  4

  3

  5

  6

   5

  7

  5

  6

  4

10

11

  9

Good

28%

28

27

28

27

29

28

29

37

37

37

39

34

40

40

33

Only fair

41%

39

41

41

41

36

38

39

38

39

36

39

38

30

32

33

Poor

25%

24

25

25

24

30

27

23

17

15

14

12

17

17

14

20

Unsure

 2%

  4

  3

 4

  4

  2

  2

  3

  3

  3

  8

  4

 7

   3

  3

  5

  Approve/disapprove Current

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jon Corzine is doing as governor?

 

All

Dem

Ind

Rep

Public employee household

yes

no

Approve

40%

58

27

22

31

43

Disapprove

46%

28

52

68

56

44

Mixed/unsure

13%

14

21

10

12

13

 Approve/disapprove, previous surveys

2009

2008

2007

2006

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sept

Jun

Apr

Feb

Jan

30th

Jan

7th

Oct

Sep

Jun

Mar

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sep

Approve

46%

46

45

41

40

44

42

41

48

51

54

50

55

51

58

56

51

Disapprove

40%

37

39

43

41

45

43

39

32

29

25

27

25

29

27

28

31

mixed/DK

14%

17

17

16

19

11

16

20

20

20

21

23

20

19

15

16

18


 

 Instruction: Ask Republicans only (N=253; MoE +/- 6):

In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Republican voters will select a Republican candidate to run for governor.  Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election?

Likely

74%

Not likely

19%

Don’t know [VOL]

  4%

Not registered as Rep. [Skip to next series]

  2%


Question: I know it’s early, but if the Republican primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or…or…?

ROTATE NAMES

January

Chris Christie

39

30

lean Christie

4

  2

total Christie

43%

32%

Steve Lonegan

14

13

lean Lonegan

  1

  2

total Lonegan

15%

15%

Rick Merkt

1

  4

lean Merkt

--

  1

total Merkt

1%

  5%

Brian Levine

2

lean Levin

--

Total Levine

2%

Unsure/none/other

39%

47%

  Instruction: Ask Democrats only (N=361; MoE +/- 5):

In June, there will be a primary election in which New Jersey Democrats will select a Democratic candidate to run for governor.  Are you likely or not likely to vote in that primary election?

Likely

77%

 

Not likely

18%

 

Don’t know [VOL]

  4%

 

Not registered as Dem. [Skip to next series]

  1%

 

Q: I know it’s early, but if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…READ?

 

ROTATE NAMES

               

Jon Corzine

54

             

lean Corzine

5

             

total Corzine

59%

             

Ken Balut

1

             

lean Balut

--

             

total Balut

1%

             

Carl Bergmanson

2

             

lean Bergmanson

--

             

total Bergmanson

2%

             

Jeff Boss

2

             

lean Boss

--

             

Total Boss

2%

             

Unsure/none/other

36%

             

Q: And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or … ?

 

ROTATE NAMES

               

Jon Corzine

49

             

lean Corzine

2

             

total Corzine

51%

             

Richard Codey

29

             

lean Codey

3

             

total Codey

32%

             

Don’t know/neither

17%

             

Question: And if the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, would you vote for…or … ?

 

ROTATE NAMES

               

Jon Corzine

51

             

lean Corzine

3

             

total Corzine

54%

             

Cory Booker

22

             

lean Booker

  1

             

total Booker

23%

             

Don’t know/neither

23%

             

# # #

see also:

Survey Analysis
Survey Details

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