Tables

How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as President—excellent, good, only fair, or poor?
January '04	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	17%	4	11	36	23	12
Good	34%	17	44	53	33	36
Only fair	28%	45	29	7	24	32
Poor	19%	33	13	4	19	19
Don't know/Unsure	2%	2	4	--	2	2
Sept '03	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	16%	3	7	36	22	11
Good	28%	18	35	40	29	28
Only fair	29%	36	41	17	24	33
Poor	26%	43	16	6	24	27
Don't know/Unsure	1%	1	1	2	2	1
Last April '03	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Excellent	28%	6	23	52	32	24
Good	34%	32	36	37	33	35
Only fair	21%	33	21	9	20	23
Poor	16%	28	15	2	14	17
Don't know/Unsure	1%	1	4	0	1	2

 

As you know, there will be an election for President next year. If the election were held today, and George Bush were the Republican candidate, would you vote for him or would you vote for his Democratic opponent, or someone else?
January '04	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Bush	40	9	33	82	45	35
Democratic opponent	32	60	14	4	28	35
Someone else	10	14	11	4	12	9
Unsure	18	16	43	10	15	21
Sept. '03	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Bush	36%	11	27	72	43	30
Democrat	29%	51	11	7	23	33
Someone else	17%	21	26	8	15	19
Unsure	18%	17	35	13	18	18

 

Now, if his Democratic opponent were…[rotate list] … who would you vote for?
	Jan	Sept
Bush	45	41
Howard Dean	28	24
Someone else	9	15
Unsure	18	19
Bush	44	39
Wesley Clark	24	24
Someone else	11	15
Unsure	22	22
Bush	44	43
Joe Lieberman	27	31
Someone else	11	15
Unsure	18	11
Bush	46	42
John Kerry	23	26
Someone else	11	14
Unsure	21	18
Bush	46	41
Dick Gephardt	24	25
Someone else	12	16
Unsure	19	17
Bush	56	53
Al Sharpton	14	11
Someone else	16	26
Unsure	13	10

 

How well is the U.S. military effort in Iraq going…?
	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Sept. '03	Change from Sept. to Jan.
Very well	21%	15	17	30	21	0
Fairly well	48%	45	47	55	40	+8
Not to well	19%	27	18	9	25	-6
Not at all well	8%	10	11	3	10	-2
Unsure	3%	3	7	2	4	-1

 

Would you say the U.S. military effort in Iraq has gone better or worse than you expected?
Jan. '04	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Better	41%	36	39	48	38	42
Worse	38%	47	38	27	36	40
Same (don't read)	15%	13	15	19	23	9
Don't know (don't read)	6%	5	8	6	3	8
Sept 24-30	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Better	36%	25	37	37	40	32
Worse	47%	62	41	43	42	52
Same (don't read)	12%	7	18	13	15	9
Don't know (don't read)	5%	5	4	7	3	7
Last April 12-19	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Better	80%	70	83	89	80	80
Worse	7%	13	4	1	6	8
Same (don't read)	9%	11	8	8	13	6
Don't know (don't read)	4%	7	3	2	2	6

 

Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake?
		Party			President's Job Rating				Gender
Jan. '04	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep	Excel- lent	Good	Fair	Poor	Men	Women
Right thing	55%	35	57	82	94	77	34	15	58	52
Mistake	37%	57	33	12	31	15	68	3	35	38
Don't know	8%	8	10	6	3	11	10	2	7	9
Sept '03	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep	Excel- lent	Good	Fair	Poor	Men	Women
Right thing	54%	34	52	80	97	84	36	15	62	47
Mistake	40%	59	40	15	2	10	51	82	33	45
Don't know	6%	7	8	5	2	6	12	3	4	8
Last April '03	All	Dem	Ind.	Rep	Excel- lent	Good	Fair	Poor	Men	Women
Right thing	67%	49	66	86	97	84	45	11	73	62
Mistake	23%	40	26	6	2	7	37	79	20	27
Don't Know	10%	10	8	8	2	9	19	10	8	12

Which are you following more closely—the war in Iraq or the status of the economy?
	All	18-29	30-44	45-59	Over 60
Iraq	30%	44	32	30	27
Economy	35%	40	42	31	31
Neither (vol.)	1%	--	1	2	1
Both (vol.)	33%	16	24	37	40

 

In deciding who to vote for for President, which is more important to you, the candidate's position on…[ROTATE] or …?
	All	Men	Women
foreign policy and the war in Iraq	24%	26	22
the economy	46%	46	45
Neither	2%	2	1
Both	26%	24	28
don't know	3%	2	4

Contacts:
Rick Thigpen, academic associate, 609-394-0888.
Steve Salmore, research professor of political science: 973-292-3633.
Peter Woolley, coordinator: 973-443-8725

Radio actuality line: (201) 692-2846.

For more information, please call (201) 692-7032.

see also:

Survey Analysis
Salmore's Analysis
Thigpen's Analysis
Survey Details