Response by Rick Thigpen

One thing is unchanged: Senator Corzine continues to hold a lead as we come down to the wire. The bad news is that the lead has diminished. The good news is, Forrester remains stalled around 40%, and polls are more likely to understate rather than overstate minority voting strength, where Corzine holds a 4-1 lead.

In a race that is tightening, the decision may well depend upon the get-out-the-vote capabilities of the respective campaigns. Corzine has united his base while Forrester has divided his over his pro-choice preferences. That advantage goes to Corzine and the Democrats.

The poll shows the race getting tighter, but the scenario has not emerged where Forrester actually wins. Sit tight, it looks like Forrester will come in a close second.

see also:
Survey Analysis
Republican Analysis
Tabular Results
Survey Details

Comment by Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind Academic Associate, Rick Thigpen (J.D., Columbia University Law School). Rick is a former Executive Director of the New Jersey Democratic Party and now a partner in The Strategy Group and is a campaign coordinator for the Essex County Democratic Party. Rick Thigpen, Esq. can be reached at (609) 394-0888.