Response by Stephen Salmore

Although John Kerry appears to have broken ahead of George Bush, New Jersey unexpectedly remains in play.  At the beginning of the campaign, New Jersey was not seen as a potential battleground state. The narrowness and recency of John Kerry’s lead suggests that both parties will have to continue to pay attention to New Jersey.

see also:
Survey Analysis
Thigpen's Analysis
Tabular Results
Survey Details

Comment by Fairleigh Dickinson University Research Professor of Political Science, Stephen Salmore (Ph.D., Princeton University). Steve specializes in both national and New Jersey politics and presently operates Raritan Associates, Inc. He is co-author of Parties, Elections and Campaigns and New Jersey Government and Politics. Dr. Stephen Salmore can be reached at 973-292-3633.