| Tables
|
Question: In your opinion, do you believe that the country
is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten
off on the wrong track?
|
|
October 22
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
Right direction
|
36%
|
9
|
33
|
72
|
37
|
35
|
|
Wrong track
|
52%
|
84
|
44
|
15
|
53
|
52
|
|
Don’t
know/Unsure
|
12%
|
8
|
24
|
13
|
11
|
14
|
|
October 15
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
Right direction
|
36%
|
12
|
35
|
67
|
36
|
36
|
|
Wrong track
|
54%
|
84
|
46
|
19
|
52
|
55
|
|
Don’t
know/Unsure
|
11%
|
4
|
20
|
14
|
13
|
9
|
|
October 12
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
Right direction
|
36%
|
13
|
34
|
66
|
37
|
34
|
|
Wrong track
|
53%
|
81
|
51
|
18
|
51
|
55
|
|
Don’t
know/Unsure
|
12%
|
6
|
16
|
16
|
12
|
11
|
|
Post-debate: Oct. 7
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
Right direction
|
34
|
11
|
17
|
67
|
39
|
31
|
|
Wrong track
|
54
|
79
|
61
|
21
|
52
|
55
|
|
Don’t
know/Unsure
|
12
|
10
|
22
|
12
|
10
|
14
|
|
Pre-debate: Sept 29
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
Right direction
|
35%
|
11
|
19
|
73
|
41
|
31
|
|
Wrong track
|
52%
|
79
|
56
|
17
|
50
|
54
|
|
Don’t
know/Unsure
|
13%
|
10
|
26
|
10
|
9
|
16
|
|
Question:
How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as President—excellent,
good, only fair, or poor?
|
|
Oct. 22
|
All
|
Dem
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
Excellent
|
16%
|
2
|
15
|
37
|
18
|
16
|
|
Good
|
25%
|
8
|
32
|
46
|
25
|
26
|
|
Only fair
|
22%
|
30
|
21
|
11
|
22
|
21
|
|
Poor
|
34%
|
58
|
26
|
6
|
34
|
35
|
|
Don’t
know/Unsure (vol)
|
2%
|
2
|
6
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
|
Question:
How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing handling
the economy—excellent, good, only
fair, or poor?
|
|
Oct.
22
|
All
|
Dem
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
Excellent
|
10%
|
2
|
5
|
23
|
10
|
10
|
|
Good
|
25%
|
5
|
20
|
52
|
24
|
26
|
|
Only fair
|
21%
|
24
|
29
|
15
|
21
|
22
|
|
Poor
|
43%
|
68
|
43
|
9
|
45
|
41
|
|
Don’t
know/Unsure (vol)
|
1%
|
1
|
3
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
|
Question:
How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing handling
foreign affairs and national security—excellent,
good, only fair, or poor?
|
|
Oct.
22
|
All
|
Dem
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
Excellent
|
19%
|
3
|
15
|
42
|
22
|
16
|
|
Good
|
24%
|
9
|
35
|
39
|
22
|
25
|
|
Only fair
|
19%
|
26
|
17
|
11
|
19
|
19
|
|
Poor
|
37%
|
61
|
30
|
7
|
36
|
38
|
|
Don’t
know/Unsure (vol)
|
2%
|
2
|
3
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
|
Question: Later this year, there will
be an election for President of the United States. If the election
were held today do you think you would vote for …. or …. [ROTATE]
? If “unsure,” or “don’t know” ask “which way do you lean?”
|
|
October 22
Base = 503 likely voters
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
George
Bush, the Republican Candidate
|
40
|
9
|
33
|
85
|
40
|
40
|
|
lean
Bush
|
1
|
--
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
2
|
|
John
Kerry, the Democratic candidate
|
46
|
80
|
30
|
8
|
47
|
45
|
|
lean
Kerry
|
3
|
5
|
3
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
|
Nader or Other (vol.)
|
1
|
1
|
4
|
1
|
2
|
1
|
|
Don’t
know (vol.)
|
9
|
6
|
28
|
4
|
9
|
9
|
|
Post-debate: Oct. 15
Base= 508 likely voters
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
George Bush, the Republican Candidate
|
42
|
11
|
43
|
80
|
42
|
42
|
|
lean
Bush
|
4
|
2
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
3
|
|
John Kerry, the Democratic candidate
|
44
|
78
|
31
|
7
|
41
|
47
|
|
lean
Kerry
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
|
Nader or Other (vol.)
|
2
|
2
|
4
|
2
|
3
|
1
|
|
Don’t
know (vol.)
|
6
|
5
|
15
|
4
|
7
|
6
|
|
Post-debate: Oct. 12
Base= 500 likely voters
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
George Bush, the Republican Candidate
|
40
|
9
|
34
|
81
|
40
|
39
|
|
lean
Bush
|
3
|
2
|
5
|
4
|
3
|
3
|
|
John Kerry, the Democratic candidate
|
46
|
81
|
36
|
6
|
43
|
49
|
|
lean
Kerry
|
2
|
2
|
--
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
|
Nader or Other (vol.)
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
--
|
3
|
1
|
|
Don’t
know (vol.)
|
8
|
4
|
25
|
6
|
10
|
7
|
|
Post-debate: Oct. 7
Base= 500 likely voters
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
George Bush, the Republican Candidate
|
39
|
9
|
26
|
79
|
43
|
36
|
|
lean
Bush
|
2
|
1
|
--
|
4
|
2
|
2
|
|
John Kerry, the Democratic candidate
|
47
|
79
|
44
|
10
|
46
|
48
|
|
lean
Kerry
|
2
|
4
|
2
|
1
|
3
|
2
|
|
Nader or Other (vol.)
|
2
|
1
|
6
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
|
Don’t
know (vol.)
|
8
|
7
|
23
|
4
|
4
|
12
|
|
Pre-debate: September 29
Base= 489 likely voters
|
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
Men
|
Women
|
|
George Bush, the Republican Candidate
|
41
|
11
|
35
|
85
|
45
|
38
|
|
lean
Bush
|
3
|
2
|
--
|
3
|
1
|
4
|
|
John Kerry, the Democratic candidate
|
43
|
76
|
35
|
5
|
43
|
43
|
|
lean
Kerry
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
|
Nader or Other (vol.)
|
2
|
--
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
|
Don’t
know (vol.)
|
10
|
7
|
25
|
4
|
8
|
11
|
|
Question: Are
you satisfied with choice of candidates you have for President
in this election or do you wish there
were different
candidates?
|
| |
All
|
Dem.
|
Ind.
|
Rep.
|
|
Satisfied
|
49
|
46
|
36
|
56
|
|
Wish for different choices
|
47
|
49
|
58
|
42
|
|
Don’t
know (vol.)
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
2
|
|
Question:
In deciding their vote for president, people focus on different
things. Which one of the following issues is the most important
to you in deciding who to vote for for President…?
|
On that issue, _____, which candidate would do a better job?
|
|
[ROTATE LIST]
|
All
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Rep
|
Men
|
Women
|
Bush
|
Kerry
|
N=
|
|
The state of the economy
|
23%
|
27
|
28
|
16
|
25
|
22
|
22
|
62
|
116
|
|
national security and the war on terror
|
43%
|
29
|
33
|
64
|
40
|
44
|
65
|
29
|
214
|
|
quality of the environment
|
2%
|
2
|
4
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
18
|
63
|
12
|
|
providing health care insurance
|
11%
|
18
|
10
|
3
|
14
|
9
|
10
|
77
|
56
|
|
improving education
|
6%
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
7
|
6
|
28
|
49
|
30
|
|
Other (vol)
|
1%
|
1
|
--
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
|
|
None (vol.)
|
1%
|
1
|
--
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
|
All (vol.)
|
13%
|
15
|
20
|
7
|
9
|
16
|
|
Don’t
know (vol.)
|
| |