FDU PublicMind - October 22, 2003 Survey

Question: In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track?
		Statewide Sept. 24-30	38^th District Oct. 15-20
	Right Direction	33%	37
	Wrong track	52%	47
	Unsure	14%	16

Question: Have you heard of … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?
		James McGreevey Statewide Sept. 24-30	James McGreevey 38^th District Oct. 15-20	Joseph Coniglio	Rose Marie Heck
	Very favorable	6%	14	16	18
	Somewhat favorable	35%	32	26	25
	Somewhat unfavorable	29%	20	12	12
	Very unfavorable	21%	25	8	9
	Heard of but no opinion/don’t know	9%	9	32	30
	Haven’t heard of…	1%	--	6	6

Question: How would you rate the job Jim McGreevey is doing as governor—excellent, good, only fair, or poor?			Question: How would you rate the job Joseph Coniglio has done as state senator—excellent, good, only fair, or poor?
	Statewide Sept. 24-30	38^th District Oct. 15-20
Excellent or Good	29%	34	35
Fair or Poor	69%	65	37
Don’t know/unsure	2%	1	29

Question: Do you think that James McGreevey has done a good enough job as governor to deserve reelection or would you rather see a new person in that job?
		All Sept. 24-30	38^th District Oct. 15-20
	Re-elect	27%	34
	New person	61%	52
	Don’t know	11%	14

Question: This November in New Jersey there will be an election for the state legislature. In this year’s election for state assembly and state senate do you think you’ll be voting for the Democratic or Republican candidates?
		Statewide Sept. 24-30	38^th District Oct. 15-20
	Republican	30%	31
	Democrat	42%	40
	Unsure	21%	21
	Both/mixed	5%	3
	Neither	2%	4

Question: If the election for New Jersey’s state Senate were held right now, and you had to make a choice, which of the following two candidates would you vote for… or…? [If unsure: “which way do you lean?”]
	All	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.
Joseph Coniglio, the Democratic candidate	48	9	31	80
lean Coniglio	3	1	--	5
Total Coniglio	51	10	31	85
Rose Marie Heck, the Republican candidate	35	79	33	10
lean Heck	3	3	2	1
Total Heck	38	82	35	11
Unsure	10	7	32	3
Other	1	1	2	1

Question: If you knew that a candidate was a strong supporter of Governor McGreevey, would that make you more or less likely to vote for that candidate?
N= 197		38^th District	Republicans	Independents	Democrats
	More	31	14	24	50
	Less	41	73	43	16
	Neither	17	8	24	21
	Unsure	11	6	7	13
	Ref.	1	--	3	--

Question: If you knew that a candidate was a strong opponent of Governor McGreevey, would that make you more or less likely to vote for that candidate?
N= 204		38^th District	Republicans	Independents	Democrats
	More	32	58	28	17
	Less	32	14	29	43
	Neither	19	15	23	22
	Unsure	17	13	20	17
	Ref.	--	--	--	1

Question: [Still thinking about your Senate district] Which party, the Democrats or Republicans, does a better job...[rotate list]?
		Statewide Sept. 24-30	38^th District Oct. 15-20
Controlling spending
	Democrats	32%	34
	Republicans	34%	35
	Neither/both	21%	18
	Don’t know	12%	12
Controlling taxes
	Democrats	29%	33
	Republicans	37%	36
	Neither/both	25%	21
	Don’t know	10%	9
Dealing with overdevelopment and suburban sprawl
	Democrats	37%	37
	Republicans	17%	22
	Neither/both	25%	21
	Don’t know	21%	19
Dealing with auto insurance
	Democrats	23%	29
	Republicans	15%	15
	Neither or both	44%	36
	Don’t know	19%	19
Protecting the environment
	Democrats	52%	50
	Republicans	17%	19
	Neither/both	17%	15
	Don’t know	14%	15
Upholding ethical standards
	Democrats	24%	29
	Republicans	28%	27
	Neither/both	33%	27
	Don’t know	15%	16
Providing security from terror attacks
	Democrats	15%	20
	Republicans	32%	26
	Neither/both	30%	25
	Don’t know	23%	27

Question: Which of these issues we just talked about do you think should be the top priority in the coming year for the governor and legislature?
		Statewide Sept 24-30	38^th District Oct. 15-20
	controlling taxes	23%	29
	controlling spending	20%	15
	Security from terror attacks	17%	14
	Auto insurance	16%	13
	overdevelopment and suburban sprawl	11%	13
	Protecting the environment	7%	11
	Ethical standards	6%	5

Contacts:
Rick Thigpen, academic associate, 609-394-0888.
Steve Salmore, research professor of political science: 973-292-3633.
Peter Woolley, coordinator: 973-443-8725

Radio actuality line: (201) 692-2846.

For more information, please call (201) 692-7032.