Tables

Question: Later this year there will be an election for the US Senator representing New Jersey…. Do you happen to know the names of the two major party candidates?
All responses volunteered
All
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
  Names only Menendez
9%
12
6
7
  Names only Kean
4%
2
3
8
  Names both
23%
22
28
21
  Names neither
64%
64
63
64

Question:  Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?

[ROTATE NAMES]

 Haven't heard of Heard of Very
Favor-
able		 Some-
what
Favor-
able		 Some-
what
Un-
favor-
able		 Very
Un-
favor-
able		 No opinion
Bob Menendez

24%

76%

13

23

14

11

40
Previous surveys…              
Menendez 4/06

37%

63%

10

29

 9

10

42
Menendez 3/06

35%

65%

12

28

  6

  7

46
Menendez 1/06

40%

60%

12

21

11

  6

50
Menendez 9/05

64%

36%

14

27

16

  5

38
Menendez 7/05

62%

38%

16

33

10

  6

36
Tom Kean, Jr.

21%

79%

12

27

12

6

43
Previous surveys…              
Kean 4/06

28%

72%

13

26

10

  4

47
Kean, 3/06

38%

62%

12

28

  7

  5

47
Kean 1/06

38%

62%

12

29

 8

  4

48
Kean 9/30

54%

46%

16

30

13

  3

38



Question: Later this year there will be an election for New Jersey's U.S. Senator between Bob Menendez, the Democrat and Tom Kean, Jr, the Republican? So far, how much have you heard or read about this race…[READ]?
  All Demo-
crats		 Indepen-
dents		 Republi-
cans		 April March
  A great deal
14%
15
16
10
  
7%
  
7%
  Some
25%
25
29
25
21%
14%
  Just a little
35%
37
29
36
49%
51%
  Nothing at all
27%
24
25
30
23%
29%

Question: If the election for U.S. Senate were held right now, and you had to make a choice, which candidate would you vote for… or … ? [If choose ask: “Are you sure or might you change your mind?” If “unsure” ask:] Which way do you lean…or…?

Rotate names

All

D

I

R

c
o
n

m
o
d

lib

Men

Wom

Governor's Job approval
 

Ap-
prove

Dis-ap-
prove

Bob Menendez, the Democrat — sure

26%

                    

Mendendez / might change

11%

                    

Lean Menendez

4%

                    

Total Menendez

43%

76

25

10

23

40

70

43

42

62

22

Tom Kean, Jr., the Republican — sure

25%

                    

Kean / might change

13%

                    

lean Kean

2%

                    

Total Kean

40%

12

39

82

64

40

16

43

36

25

63

Unsure

15%

10

25

 8

12

19

12

11

18

13

12

Other

3%

2

3

 1

2

2

3

  3

  2

  1

  3

Question Ordering: Questions about President Bush and the military action in Iraq were placed either before questions about the Senate race, after the questions about the Senate race, or split, with questions about Bush coming before, and questions about Iraq coming after.
 

All

Ask about President and Iraq Before

Ask about Bush, Iraq After

Ask about Bush before and about Iraq After

Bob Menendez, the Democrat

43%

44

43

41

Tom Kean, Jr., the Republican

40%

36

42

41

Unsure

15%

17

13

16

Other

  2%

3

2

2

Menendez Advantage

+3

+8

+1

0

Republican House Candidate

29%

25

33

29

Democratic House Candidate

42%

42

40

42

Unsure

29%

33

24

30

Democratic House Advantage

13%

+17

+7

+13

Question: By the way, do you happen to know which party currently holds a majority of seats in the US Senate?
All responses volunteered All Democrats Independents Republicans
  Democrats
20%
17
23
22
  Republicans
62%
64
54
64
  Don't know/other/ref
18%
19
23
14

Question: Which candidate for Senate … or … is best described by…?
rotate names All Democrats Independents Republicans
Honest, trustworthy        
  Bob Menendez,
16%
28
7
6
  Tom Kean, Jr.,
20%
8
18
39
  neither (vol)
13%
13
12
14
  both (vol)  
8%
8
15
6
  don't know (vol)
42%
42
48
35
Can get the job done for New Jersey?
All
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
  Bob Menendez,
27%
46
15
10
  Tom Kean, Jr.,
24%
  
7
18
51
  neither (vol)
6%
  
7
  
8
  
5
  both (vol)
3%
  
4
  
6
  
2
  don't know (vol)
40%
37
53
33
Understands the concerns of the average person
All
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
  Bob Menendez,
31%
46
27
14
  Tom Kean, Jr.,
17%
  
5
13
35
  neither (vol)
9%
  
8
  
8
12
  both (vol)
4%
  
4
   
6
  
4
  don't know (vol)
39%
37
47
35
Has the background and experience to be a good US Senator
All
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
  Bob Menendez,
30%
45
23
14
  Tom Kean, Jr.,
22%
  
8
18
42
  neither (vol)  
6%
  
6
  
6
  
7
  both (vol)  
6%
  
5
10
  
6
  don't know (vol)
37%
36
44
32
Negative campaigner
All
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
  Bob Menendez,
15%
  
8
16
26
  Tom Kean, Jr.,
16%
25
  
8
  
9
  neither (vol)  
9%
10
  
8
10
  both (vol)  
9%
  
6
18
  
9
  don't know (vol)
51%
52
52
46
Independent of the party bosses and large campaign contributors
All
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
  Bob Menendez,
16%
23
11
10
  Tom Kean, Jr.,
18%
11
15
32
  neither (vol)
15%
17
17
12
  both (vol)  
3%
  
3
  
4
  
2
  don't know (vol)
48%
48
53
43

Question:  Are you satisfied with the choice of candidates you have for Senate in this election or do you wish there were different candidates?
 

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

Satisfied

41%

46

32

41

Wish for different choices

37%

33

44

39

Don't know (vol.)

22%

21

24

21

Question: Now, regardless of which candidate you want to win, if you had to guess, who would you say is going to win the election for US Senate in November… or …?
 

All

Dem

Ind

Rep.
Bob Menendez

53%

63

51

44
Tom Kean, Jr.

29%

21

22

43
Don't Know (vol.)

18%

15

25

12

Question: Do you expect it to be close or not very close?
 

All

Dem

Ind

Rep.
Close

62%

62

62

63
Not close

24%

27

16

23
Don't Know/Too close to call [vol]

14%

11

22

14

Question: How strongly are your views of this Senate election influenced by national concerns, such as the economy or the military action in Iraq?
 
All
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
  Very strongly
52%
59
51
43
  Somewhat strongly
25%
25
22
28
  Just a little
10%
7
9
13
  Not at all
9%
5
11
13
  Don't know/ref. (vol)  
4%
  
4
  
7
  
3

Question: How strongly are your views of this Senate election influenced by national concerns, such as the economy or the military action in Iraq?
 
All
Support Menendez
Suppport Kean
Unsure
  Very strongly
52%
59
47
47
  Somewhat strongly
25%
24
27
23
  Just a little
10%
7
13
10
  Not at all
8%
6
10
10
  Don't know/ref. (vol)
4%
4
3
9

Question: Now, turning to a different election, this November there will also be an election for the House of Representatives in Washington.  In your district do you plan to vote for… [ROTATE]  or… ?
Rotate All Democrats Independents Republicans
  the Republican candidate for Congress
29%
2
16
74
  the Democratic candidate for Congress
42%
79
15
7
  Don't know (vol)/Unsure
29%
18
68
19

Question: And what about Bob Menendez? Do you consider Bob Menendez to be liberal or conservative?
  All Democrats Independents Republicans
  Liberal
41%
37
37
52
  In between / moderate [VOL]
8%
12
8
4
  Conservative
9%
10
10
6
  Don't know / ref. [VOL]
42%
41
45
38

Question: And what about Tom Kean, Jr.?  Do you consider Tom Kean, Jr. to be liberal or conservative?
  All Democrats Independents Republicans
  Liberal
10%
11
8
9
  In between / moderate [VOL]
9%
6
9
13
  Conservative
40%
41
34
44
  Don't /ref. [VOL]
41%
42
50
34


see also:

Survey Analysis
Republican Analysis
Democratic Analysis
Survey Details

Copyright © 2006, Fairleigh Dickinson University. All rights reserved. FDU PublicMind Poll [Latest update 060720]