Tables
Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track? | ||||||||||||
All | D | I | R | Vote For… | Sept. ‘05 |
July ‘05 |
April ‘05 |
Jan. ‘05 |
Oct. ‘04 |
|||
Cor- zine |
For- rester |
Not Sure |
||||||||||
Right Direction | 29% | 37 | 26 | 20 | 38 | 19 | 24 | 39% | 36% | 29% | 40% | 40% |
Wrong track | 59% | 49 | 64 | 73 | 48 | 75 | 51 | 49% | 51% | 59% | 45% | 48% |
Don't know | 12% | 14 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25 | 12% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 12% |
Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat? | |||||||
[ROTATE NAMES] | Haven't heard of | Heard of | Very Favor- able |
Some- what Favor- able |
Some- what Un- favor- able |
Very Un- favor- able |
No opinion |
Doug Forrester | 4% | 96% | 16 | 27 | 18 | 13 | 26 |
Jon Corzine | 2% | 98% | 23 | 24 | 17 | 17 | 18 |
Richard Codey | 11% | 89% | 28 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
Previous Surveys… | |||||||
Forrester 9/05 | 9% | 91% | 13 | 29 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
Forrester 7/05 | 10% | 90% | 12 | 34 | 17 | 11 | 27 |
Forrester 4/05 | 20% | 80% | 13 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 41 |
Forrester 1/05 | 36% | 64% | 8 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 51 |
Corzine 9/05 | 8% | 92% | 19 | 27 | 17 | 15 | 21 |
Corzine 7/05 | 7% | 94% | 23 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Corzine 4/05 | 8% | 91% | 18 | 27 | 16 | 16 | 23 |
Corzine 1/05 | 11% | 90% | 22 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
Codey 9/05 | 21% | 80% | 28 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 20 |
Codey 7/05 | 15% | 85% | 21 | 39 | 16 | 10 | 15 |
Codey 4/05 | 22% | 78% | 21 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 23 |
Codey 01/05 | 35% | 65% | 18 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 44 |
Codey 10/04 | 59% | 42% | 6 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 66 |
Codey 8/04 | 68% | 32% | 11 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 60 |
Lautenberg 7/05 | 11% | 89% | 19 | 36 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Question: How would you rate the job Richard Codey is doing as governor—excellent, good, only fair, or poor? | ||||||||||
All | Dem | Ind | Rep | Men | Women | Sept ‘05 |
July ‘05 |
Apr ‘05 |
Jan ‘05 |
|
Excellent (13%) or Good (46%) | 59% | 64 | 55 | 52 | 60 | 57 | 57 | 50 | 44 | 41 |
Only Fair (29%) or Poor (6%) | 35% | 30 | 41 | 39 | 35 | 35 | 38 | 44 | 47 | 30 |
Don't know/unsure | 6% | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 30 |
Question: If the election for Governor of New Jersey were held right now, and you had to hake a choice, which of the following …or … would you vote for? [If “unsure” ask:] Which way do you lean…? | |||||||||||
Rotate names |
All |
D |
I |
R |
con |
mod |
lib |
Men |
Wom |
white |
Non- |
Jon Corzine, the Democratic |
44% |
74 |
32 |
9 |
24 |
40 |
65 |
43 |
44 |
40 |
62 |
lean Corzine |
4% |
7 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
6 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
Total Corzine |
48% |
81 |
37 |
10 |
26 |
49 |
71 |
45 |
50 |
43 |
69 |
Doug Forrester, the Republican |
38% |
10 |
35 |
79 |
59 |
34 |
18 |
43 |
33 |
3 |
2 |
lean Forrester |
2% |
1 |
8 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
43 |
12 |
Total Forrester |
40% |
11 |
43 |
82 |
62 |
38 |
21 |
47 |
35 |
46 |
13 |
Unsure |
9% |
7 |
13 |
6 |
8 |
13 |
7 |
5 |
12 |
8 |
15 |
Other |
3% |
2 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
Due to rounding, numbers may not add.
Question: Which candidate for governor… or … is best described by…? | ||||||
rotate names | All | Dems | Independents | Rep. | September | |
Honest, trustworthy | ` | |||||
Jon Corzine | 27 | 47 | 19 | 4 | 30% | |
Doug Forrester | 29 | 8 | 34 | 58 | 25% | |
neither (vol) | 19 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 17% | |
both (vol) | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9% | |
don't know (vol) | 15 | 15 | 19 | 11 | 18% | |
Can do something about high property taxes? | All | Dems | Independents | Rep. | ||
Jon Corzine | 23 | 39 | 16 | 5 | 33% | |
Doug Forrester | 34 | 16 | 38 | 59 | 28% | |
neither (vol) | 22 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 19% | |
both (vol) | 5 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4% | |
don't know (vol) | 16 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 16% | |
Understands the concerns of the average person | All | Dems | Independents | Rep. | ||
Jon Corzine | 32 | 55 | 19 | 8 | 37% | |
Doug Forrester | 31 | 13 | 36 | 57 | 28% | |
neither (vol) | 16 | 11 | 21 | 17 | 15% | |
both (vol) | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6% | |
don't know (vol) | 14 | 12 | 20 | 13 | 16% | |
Has the background and experience to be a good governor | All | Dems | Independents | Rep. | ||
Jon Corzine | 42 | 66 | 35 | 13 | 42% | |
Doug Forrester | 26 | 9 | 23 | 53 | 22% | |
neither (vol) | 7 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 10% | |
both (vol) | 9 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 10% | |
don't know (vol) | 16 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 16% | |
Negative campaigner | All | Dems | Independents | Rep. | ||
Jon Corzine | 25 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 21% | |
Doug Forrester | 23 | 34 | 23 | 10 | 26% | |
neither (vol) | 16 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 19% | |
both (vol) | 18 | 16 | 25 | 18 | 9% | |
don't know (vol) | 18 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 25% | |
Independent of the party bosses and large campaign contributors | All | Dems | Independents | Rep. | ||
Jon Corzine | 28 | 43 | 23 | 12 | 31% | |
Doug Forrester | 25 | 11 | 25 | 46 | 22% | |
neither (vol) | 19 | 19 | 24 | 15 | 15% | |
both (vol) | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7% | |
don't know (vol) | 22 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 25% |
Question: Are you satisfied with the choice of candidates you have for governor in this election or do you wish there were different candidates? |
||||||||
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
September |
||||
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
|||||
Satisfied |
44% |
53 |
19 |
46 |
47% |
53 |
34 |
44 |
Wish for different choices |
51% |
43 |
75 |
51 |
47% |
43 |
56 |
51 |
Don't know (vol.) |
5% |
4 |
6 |
3 |
7% |
4 |
10 |
5 |
Question: Now, regardless of which candidate you want to win, if you had to guess, who would you say is going to win the election for governor in November… or …? | |||||||
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
Sept ‘05 All |
Sept. Rep |
July ‘05 |
|
Jon Corzine |
60% |
76 |
53 |
45 |
68% |
58 |
68% |
Doug Forrester |
22% |
10 |
23 |
39 |
18% |
30 |
17% |
Too close to call (vol.) |
7% |
5 |
10 |
8 |
4% |
7 |
4% |
Don't Know (vol.) |
11% |
9 |
14 |
8 |
9% |
6 |
11% |
Contacts:
Rick Thigpen, academic associate, 609-394-0888.
Peter Woolley, coordinator: 973-443-8725
Radio actuality line: (201) 692-2846.
For more information, please call (201) 692-7032.
see also:
Survey
Analysis
Republican Analysis
Democratic Analysis
Survey Details