Tables

Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track?
  All D I R Vote For… Sept.
‘05
July
‘05
April
‘05
Jan.
‘05
Oct.
‘04
Cor-
zine
For-
rester
Not
Sure
Right Direction 29% 37 26 20 38 19 24 39% 36% 29% 40% 40%
Wrong track 59% 49 64 73 48 75 51 49% 51% 59% 45% 48%
Don't know 12% 14   9   7 13   7 25 12% 13% 12% 15% 12%

Question:  Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?
[ROTATE NAMES] Haven't heard of Heard of Very
Favor-
able
Some-
what
Favor-
able
Some-
what
Un-
favor-
able
Very
Un-
favor-
able
No opinion
Doug Forrester   4% 96% 16 27 18 13 26
Jon Corzine   2% 98% 23 24 17 17 18
Richard Codey 11% 89% 28 33 10   6 22
Previous Surveys…              
Forrester 9/05   9% 91% 13 29 19   9 30
Forrester 7/05 10% 90% 12 34 17 11 27
Forrester 4/05 20% 80% 13 26 14 6 41
Forrester 1/05 36% 64%   8 22 10 7 51
Corzine 9/05  8% 92% 19 27 17 15 21
Corzine 7/05  7% 94% 23 34 14 15 15
Corzine 4/05  8% 91% 18 27 16 16 23
Corzine 1/05 11% 90% 22 31 12 9 26
Codey 9/05 21% 80% 28 33 12   7 20
Codey 7/05 15% 85% 21 39 16 10 15
Codey 4/05 22% 78% 21 30 16 9 23
Codey 01/05 35% 65% 18 30   4  3 44
Codey 10/04 59% 42%  6 17   6  4 66
Codey 8/04 68% 32% 11 19   3  6 60
Lautenberg 7/05 11% 89% 19 36 15 16 14


Question: How would you rate the job Richard Codey is doing as governor—excellent, good, only fair, or poor?
  All Dem Ind Rep Men Women Sept
‘05
July
‘05
Apr
‘05
Jan
‘05
Excellent (13%) or Good (46%) 59% 64 55 52 60 57 57 50 44 41
Only Fair (29%) or Poor (6%) 35% 30 41 39 35 35 38 44 47 30
Don't know/unsure 6%   5 4   9   5   8 5 7    9 30

Question:   If the election for Governor of New Jersey were held right now, and you had to hake a choice, which of the following …or …  would you vote for? [If “unsure” ask:] Which way do you lean…?

Rotate names

All

D

I

R

con

mod

lib

Men

Wom

white

Non-
white

Jon Corzine, the Democratic

44%

74

32

  9

24

40

65

43

44

40

62

lean Corzine

  4%

  7

  5

  1

  2

  9

  6

  3

  6

 4

  7

Total Corzine

48%

81

37

10

26

49

71

45

50

43

69

Doug Forrester, the Republican

38%

10

35

79

59

34

18

43

33

  3

  2

lean Forrester

  2%

  1

  8

  3

  3

  4

  3

  4

  2

43

12

Total Forrester

40%

11

43

82

62

38

21

47

35

46

13

Unsure

  9%

  7

13

  6

  8

13

  7

  5

12

  8

15

Other

  3%

  2

  6

  2

  3

  1

  2

  2

  3

  3

  3

Due to rounding, numbers may not add.

Question: Which candidate for governor… or … is best described by…?
rotate names All Dems Independents Rep. September
Honest, trustworthy   `      
  Jon Corzine 27 47 19   4 30%
  Doug Forrester 29   8 34 58 25%
  neither (vol) 19 18 20 18 17%
  both (vol) 10 11   8   9   9%
  don't know (vol) 15 15 19 11 18%
Can do something about high property taxes? All Dems Independents Rep.  
  Jon Corzine 23 39 16  5 33%
  Doug Forrester 34 16 38 59 28%
  neither (vol) 22 22 25 21 19%
  both (vol)   5   6   9   4   4%
  don't know (vol) 16 18 13 12 16%
Understands the concerns of the average person All Dems Independents Rep.  
  Jon Corzine 32 55 19 8 37%
  Doug Forrester 31 13 36 57 28%
  neither (vol) 16 11 21 17 15%
  both (vol)   6  8   4   5   6%
  don't know (vol) 14 12 20 13 16%
Has the background and experience to be a good governor All Dems Independents Rep.  
  Jon Corzine 42 66 35 13 42%
  Doug Forrester 26   9 23 53 22%
  neither (vol)   7   4 15   8 10%
  both (vol)   9   5 11 14 10%
  don't know (vol) 16 16 16 12 16%
Negative campaigner All Dems Independents Rep.  
  Jon Corzine 25 13 22 43 21%
  Doug Forrester 23 34 23 10 26%
  neither (vol) 16 14 12 18 19%
  both (vol) 18 16 25 18   9%
  don't know (vol) 18 23 18 11 25%
Independent of the party bosses and large campaign contributors All Dems Independents Rep.  
  Jon Corzine 28 43 23 12 31%
  Doug Forrester 25 11 25 46 22%
  neither (vol) 19 19 24 15 15%
  both (vol)   7   6   6   8   7%
  don't know (vol) 22 21 23 19 25%

Question:  Are you satisfied with the choice of candidates you have for governor in this election or do you wish there were different candidates?

 

All

Dem.

Ind.

Rep.

September

All

Dem

Ind

Rep

Satisfied

44%

53

19

46

47%

53

34

44

Wish for different choices

51%

43

75

51

47%

43

56

51

Don't know (vol.)

  5%

  4

   6

  3

  7%

 4

10

  5


Question: Now, regardless of which candidate you want to win, if you had to guess, who would you say is going to win the election for governor in November… or …?
 

All

Dem

Ind

Rep.

Sept ‘05

All

Sept. Rep

July ‘05

Jon Corzine

60%

76

53

45

68%

58

68%

Doug Forrester

22%

10

23

39

18%

30

17%

Too close to call (vol.)

  7%

  5

10

  8

  4%

  7

  4%

Don't Know (vol.)

11%

  9

14

  8

  9%

  6

11%

Contacts:
Rick Thigpen, academic associate, 609-394-0888.
Peter Woolley, coordinator: 973-443-8725

Radio actuality line: (201) 692-2846.

For more information, please call (201) 692-7032.

see also:

Survey Analysis
Republican Analysis
Democratic Analysis
Survey Details

Copyright © 2005, Fairleigh Dickinson University. All rights reserved. FDU PublicMind Poll [Latest update 051011]