Tables
Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven’t just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat? |
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[ROTATE NAMES] |
Haven’t heard of |
Heard of |
Very |
Somewhat |
Somewhat |
Very |
No opinion |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
||||||
Bob Menendez |
8% |
92% |
15 |
24 |
14 |
20 |
27 |
Previous surveys… |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Menendez 8/06 |
25% |
76% |
10 |
23 |
16 |
13 |
39 |
Menendez 7/06 |
24% |
76% |
13 |
23 |
14 |
11 |
40 |
Menendez 4/06 |
37% |
63% |
10 |
29 |
9 |
10 |
42 |
Menendez 3/06 |
35% |
65% |
12 |
28 |
6 |
7 |
46 |
Menendez 1/06 |
40% |
60% |
12 |
21 |
11 |
6 |
50 |
Menendez 9/05 |
64% |
36% |
14 |
27 |
16 |
5 |
38 |
Menendez 7/05 |
62% |
38% |
16 |
33 |
10 |
6 |
36 |
Tom Kean, Jr. |
12% |
88% |
16 |
22 |
17 |
11 |
34 |
Previous surveys… |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kean 8/06 |
17% |
83% |
15 |
29 |
10 |
4 |
42 |
Kean 7/06 |
21% |
79% |
12 |
27 |
12 |
6 |
43 |
Kean 4/06 |
28% |
72% |
13 |
26 |
10 |
4 |
47 |
Kean 3/06 |
38% |
62% |
12 |
28 |
7 |
5 |
47 |
Kean 1/06 |
38% |
62% |
12 |
29 |
8 |
4 |
48 |
Kean 9/05 |
54% |
46% |
16 |
30 |
13 |
3 |
38 |
Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven’t just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat? |
||||||||
[ROTATE NAMES] |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Men |
Women |
White |
Non-White |
Bob Menendez |
||||||||
Very Favorable |
15 |
24 |
12 |
4 |
14 |
16 |
14 |
23 |
Somewhat Favorable |
24 |
34 |
19 |
17 |
22 |
26 |
24 |
24 |
Somewhat Unfavorable |
14 |
10 |
8 |
22 |
16 |
11 |
15 |
8 |
Very Unfavorable |
20 |
6 |
23 |
36 |
21 |
18 |
21 |
15 |
No Opinion |
27 |
26 |
38 |
21 |
27 |
28 |
25 |
31 |
Tom Kean, Jr. |
||||||||
Very Favorable |
16 |
12 |
14 |
30 |
19 |
12 |
16 |
13 |
Somewhat Favorable |
22 |
4 |
23 |
31 |
25 |
20 |
24 |
13 |
Somewhat Unfavorable |
17 |
28 |
13 |
9 |
14 |
20 |
16 |
25 |
Very Unfavorable |
11 |
16 |
13 |
6 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
7 |
No Opinion |
34 |
40 |
37 |
24 |
31 |
37 |
32 |
41 |
Question: Later this year there will be an election for New Jersey’s U.S. Senator between Bob Menendez, the Democrat and Tom Kean, Jr, the Republican? So far, how much have you heard or read about this race…[READ]? |
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All |
Democrats |
Independents |
Republicans |
||||
A great deal |
32% |
35 |
32 |
30 |
|||
Some |
37% |
32 |
41 |
36 |
|||
Just a little |
31% |
33 |
28 |
33 |
Question: If the election for U.S. Senate were held right now, and you had to make a choice, which candidate would you vote for… or … ? [If choose ask: "Are you sure or might you change your mind?" If "unsure" ask:] Which way do you lean…or…? |
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Rotate names |
All |
D |
I |
R |
con |
mod |
Lib |
Men |
Wom |
Bob Menendez, the Democrat |
42% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Lean Menendez |
4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Total Menendez |
46% |
80 |
35 |
11 |
21 |
51 |
71 |
43 |
50 |
Tom Kean, Jr., the Republican |
37% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Lean Kean |
2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Total Kean |
39% |
11 |
32 |
78 |
65 |
34 |
18 |
43 |
35 |
Unsure |
13% |
9 |
29 |
10 |
14 |
13 |
10 |
12 |
14 |
Other |
2% |
1 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
Question Ordering: Questions about President Bush and the military action in Iraq were placed either before questions about the Senate race or after the questions about the Senate race. |
||||
All |
Ask about President and Iraq Before |
Ask about Bush, Iraq After |
||
Bob Menendez, the Democrat |
46% |
44 |
48 |
|
Tom Kean, Jr., The Republican |
39% |
41 |
36 |
|
Unsure |
13% |
13 |
14 |
|
Other |
2% |
2 |
1 |
|
Menendez Advantage |
7% |
3 |
12 |
|
Republican House Candidate |
30% |
30 |
30 |
|
Democratic House Candidate |
41% |
42 |
41 |
|
Unsure |
29% |
28 |
29 |
|
Democratic House Advantage |
11% |
12 |
11 |
Question: Which candidate for Senate… or … is best described by…? |
|
||||||
rotate names |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
August |
July |
|
Honest, trustworthy |
|
|
|||||
Bob Menendez |
21% |
38 |
9 |
5 |
15 |
16 |
|
Tom Kean, Jr. |
32% |
12 |
26 |
60 |
26 |
20 |
|
neither (vol) |
16% |
15 |
30 |
11 |
14 |
13 |
|
both (vol) |
6% |
6 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
8 |
|
don’t know (vol) |
26% |
28 |
33 |
18 |
36 |
42 |
|
Understands the concerns of the average person |
|
|
|||||
Bob Menendez |
33% |
56 |
28 |
9 |
23 |
31 |
|
Tom Kean, Jr. |
24% |
7 |
11 |
53 |
21 |
17 |
|
neither (vol) |
15% |
7 |
30 |
18 |
13 |
9 |
|
both (vol) |
5% |
5 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
4 |
|
don’t know (vol) |
22% |
25 |
25 |
17 |
37 |
39 |
|
Has the background and experience to be a good US Senator |
|
|
|||||
Bob Menendez |
33% |
53 |
31 |
11 |
27 |
30 |
|
Tom Kean, Jr. |
26% |
8 |
15 |
54 |
23 |
22 |
|
neither (vol) |
12% |
7 |
24 |
12 |
7 |
6 |
|
both (vol) |
6% |
5 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
|
don’t know (vol) |
24% |
27 |
25 |
16 |
36 |
37 |
Question: Now, regardless of which candidate you want to win, if you had to guess, who would you say is going to win the election for Senate in November… or …? |
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Rotate names |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
August |
July |
Bob Menendez |
48% |
61 |
42 |
37 |
47% |
53% |
Tom Kean, Jr. |
30% |
18 |
24 |
48 |
28% |
29% |
Don’t Know (vol.) |
21% |
21 |
30 |
14 |
23% |
18% |
Question: Is there anything in particular that you like about Bob Menendez?/ Is there anything in particular that you dislike about Bob Menendez? (Rotate names of candidates) |
||||
|
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
Likes |
|
|
||
Mention of Iraq/Bush/War on Terror |
6% |
7 |
2 |
4 |
Any other response |
31% |
44 |
33 |
22 |
Nothing |
42% |
30 |
40 |
55 |
Don't Know/No Response |
21% |
19 |
24 |
20 |
Dislikes |
|
|
||
Mention of Ethics/Reform/Corruption |
15% |
6 |
16 |
20 |
Any other response |
21% |
17 |
20 |
28 |
Nothing |
44% |
54 |
42 |
36 |
Don't Know/No Response |
20% |
23 |
22 |
17 |
Question: Is there anything in particular that you like about Tom Kean, Jr.?/ Is there anything in particular that you dislike about Tom Kean, Jr.? (Rotate names of candidates) |
||||
|
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
Likes |
|
|
||
Mention of Ethics/Reform/Corruption |
7% |
3 |
6 |
9 |
Any other response |
28% |
16 |
25 |
44 |
Nothing |
42% |
51 |
45 |
32 |
Don't Know/No Response |
24% |
30 |
24 |
16 |
Dislikes |
|
|
||
Mention of Iraq/Bush/War on Terror |
7% |
8 |
10 |
6 |
Any other response |
21% |
25 |
18 |
21 |
Nothing |
48% |
40 |
46 |
55 |
Don't Know/No Response |
24% |
28 |
26 |
18 |
Question Ordering: Open-ended questions about likes and dislikes were placed either before questions about the Senate race or after the questions about the Senate race. |
|||
All |
Ask likes and dislikes before |
Ask likes and dislikes after |
|
Bob Menendez, the Democrat |
46% |
42 |
51 |
Tom Kean, Jr., The Republican |
39% |
42 |
36 |
Unsure |
13% |
14 |
13 |
Other |
2% |
2 |
1 |
Menendez Advantage |
7% |
0 |
15 |
Question: How strongly are your views of this Senate election influenced by national concerns, such as the economy or the military action in Iraq? |
||||||
|
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
August |
July |
Very strongly |
46 |
57 |
40 |
36 |
46% |
52% |
Somewhat strongly |
30 |
24 |
36 |
32 |
30% |
25% |
Just a little |
12 |
6 |
12 |
19 |
11% |
10% |
Not at all |
9 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
9% |
8% |
Don’t know/ref. (vol) |
3 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
5% |
4% |
Survey
Analysis
Survey Details
Republican
Response
Democratic
Response