Tables
Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track? |
|||||||||||
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Con |
Mod |
Lib |
April‘05 |
Jan. ‘05 |
Oct. ‘04 |
Aug.‘04 |
|
Right Direction |
36% |
48 |
24 |
24 |
28 |
33 |
44 |
29% |
40% |
40% |
31% |
Wrong track |
51% |
38 |
53 |
67 |
63 |
53 |
41 |
59% |
45% |
48% |
51% |
Don't know |
13% |
15 |
22 |
9 |
10 |
14 |
15 |
12% |
15% |
12% |
18% |
| Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat? |
|||||||
| [ROTATE NAMES] |
Haven't heard of |
Heard of |
Very
Favor- able |
Some- what Favor- able |
Some- |
Very
Unfavor- able |
No opinion |
| Doug Forrester | 10% |
90% |
12 |
34 |
17 |
11 |
27 |
| Jon Corzine | 7% |
94% |
23 |
34 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
| Frank Lautenberg | 11% |
89% |
19 |
36 |
15 |
16 |
14 |
| Richard Codey | 15% |
85% |
21 |
39 |
16 |
10 |
15 |
| Previous Surveys… | |||||||
| Forrester 4/05 | 20% |
80% |
13 |
26 |
14 |
6 |
41 |
| Forrester 1/05 | 36% |
64% |
8 |
22 |
10 |
7 |
51 |
| Corzine 4/05 | 8% |
91% |
18 |
27 |
16 |
16 |
23 |
| Corzine 1/05 | 11% |
90% |
22 |
31 |
12 |
9 |
26 |
| Codey 4/05 | 22% |
78% |
21 |
30 |
16 |
9 |
23 |
| Codey 01/05 | 35% |
65% |
18 |
30 |
4 |
3 |
44 |
| Codey 10/04 | 59% |
42% |
6 |
17 |
6 |
4 |
66 |
| Codey 8/04 | 68% |
32% |
11 |
19 |
3 |
6 |
60 |
Question: How would you rate the job Richard Codey is doing as governor—excellent, good, only fair, or poor? |
||||||||
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
Men |
Women |
April ‘05 |
Jan‘05 |
|
Excellent (12%) or Good (38%) |
50% |
59 |
45 |
39 |
45 |
53 |
44% |
41 |
Only Fair (35%) or Poor (8%) |
44% |
35 |
42 |
55 |
48 |
40 |
47% |
30 |
Don't know/unsure |
7% |
6 |
13 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
9% |
30 |
| Question: Later this year there will be an election for governor of New Jersey. Do you happen to know who is the … candidate for governor? |
|||||||||
| All |
Party ID |
Age |
|||||||
| Dem |
Ind |
Rep |
18-34 |
35-54 |
55-64 |
65+ |
|||
| … Democratic |
Yes |
64% |
62 |
59 |
70 |
45 |
62 |
69 |
74 |
| No |
36% |
38 |
41 |
30 |
55 |
38 |
31 |
26 |
|
| … Republican |
Yes |
57% |
52 |
52 |
66 |
38 |
53 |
64 |
69 |
| No |
43% |
48 |
48 |
34 |
62 |
47 |
36 |
31 |
|
| If the election for Governor of New Jersey were held right now, and you had to hake a choice, which of the following …or … would you vote for? | |||||||
| Rotate names | All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep |
conserv |
mod. |
Liberal |
| Jon Corzine, the Democratic candidate |
47% |
75 |
40 |
13 |
24 |
52 |
72 |
| Doug Forrester, the Republican candidate |
34% |
8 |
22 |
70 |
56 |
29 |
14 |
| Unsure |
16% |
14 |
34 |
14 |
18 |
18 |
12 |
| Other |
3% |
2 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
| Question: [If “unsure” ask:] Which way do you lean…? | ||||
| Base=99 | All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
| Jon Corzine, the Democrat | 60% |
86 |
58 |
30 |
| Doug Forrester, the Republican | 40% |
14 |
42 |
70 |
| Now what if the candidates were different. If Richard Codey was the Democratic candidate and Doug Forrester was the Republican candidate, and you had to make a choice, who would you vote for….? | |||||||
|
Rotate names |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep |
conserv |
mod |
liberal |
| the Democratic candidate |
57% |
81 |
54 |
28 |
37 |
56 |
79 |
| the Republican candidate |
43% |
19 |
46 |
72 |
63 |
44 |
21 |
| And what if Jim McGreevey, the former governor, was the Democratic candidate and Doug Forrester was the Republican candidate, and you had to make a choice, who would you vote for….? | |||||||
|
Rotate names |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep |
conserv |
mod. |
liberal |
| the Democratic candidate |
40% |
64 |
32 |
13 |
22 |
30 |
62 |
| the Republican candidate |
60% |
36 |
68 |
87 |
78 |
70 |
38 |
| Question: Are you satisfied with the choice of candidates you have for governor in this election or do you wish there were different candidates? | ||||
| All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
|
| Satisfied |
47% |
52 |
39 |
42 |
| Wish for different choices |
46% |
41 |
48 |
52 |
| Don't know (vol.) |
8% |
8 |
13 |
7 |
|
Question: Now, regardless of which candidate you want to win, if you had to guess, who would you say is going to win the election for governor in November… or …? |
||||
|
Rotate names |
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
|
Jon Corzine |
68% |
76 |
64 |
61 |
|
Doug Forrester |
17% |
13 |
8 |
22 |
|
Too close to call (vol.) |
4% |
2 |
8 |
6 |
|
Don't Know (vol.) |
11% |
8 |
21 |
11 |
|
Question: Do you expect it to be close or not very close? |
||||
|
|
All |
Dem |
Ind |
Rep. |
|
Close |
65% |
64 |
64 |
68 |
|
Not close |
29% |
30 |
24 |
28 |
|
Don't Know/Too close to call [vol] |
6% |
6 |
12 |
4 |
| Question: Do you consider John Corzine to be liberal or conservative? | ||||
| All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
|
| liberal |
51% |
45 |
44 |
61 |
| moderate or in between (vol) |
14% |
17 |
15 |
11 |
| conservative |
14% |
17 |
14 |
10 |
| Don't know (vol.) |
21% |
22 |
27 |
18 |
| Question: Do you consider Doug Forrester to be liberal or conservative? | ||||
| All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
|
| liberal |
11% |
13 |
14 |
8 |
| moderate or in between (vol) |
11% |
5 |
11 |
18 |
| conservative |
49% |
50 |
37 |
54 |
| Don't know (vol.) |
29% |
32 |
38 |
21 |
Contacts:
Rick Thigpen, academic associate, 609-394-0888.
Steve Salmore, research professor of political science: 973-292-3633.
Peter Woolley, coordinator: 973-443-8725
Radio actuality line: (201) 692-2846.
For more information, please call (201) 692-7032.
see also:
Survey Analysis
Salmore's Analysis
Thigpen's Analysis
Survey Details
