Background Memo 

The most recent poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind was conducted by telephone from October 28 through November 1 using a statewide, randomly selected sample of 1157 adults (age 18 and over) of whom 600 were likely voters. The sampling error for 600 adults is plus or minus 4 percentage points at the 95 percent level of confidence. The interviews were conducted by TMR, Inc. of Parsippany, NJ. Professionally trained interviewers using a CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing system) conducted all interviews. Random selection was conducted through computerized random-digit dialing. This technique gives every person with a phone number an equal chance of being selected including those with unlisted numbers. Likely voters are screened through a series of questions. Results are also mathematically weighted to match known demographics. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling error. This kind of error, which cannot be measured, arises from a number of factors including, but not limited to, non-response (eligible individuals refusing to be interviewed), question wording, the order in which questions are asked, and variations among interviewers. 

If the election for Governor were held today, and you had to make a choice, which of the following two candidates would you vote for…  McGreevey 
Schundler 
Undecided 

Are you sure or might you change your mind? 
Sure 
Might change 
Don't know/refused 

[IF CHOICE IS MADE FOR MCGREEVEY, ASK:] Would you say you are voting more for McGreevey or more against Schundler? 

[IF CHOICE IS MADE FOR SCHUNDLER, ASK:] Would you say you are voting more for Schundler or more against McGreevey? 

If the election for the Assembly and State Senator were held today, and you had to make a choice, would you vote for the… 
Democrats 
Republicans 
Undecided 
Other 

Do you feel that the terrorist attacks on the United States have made you… 
more likely to vote
less likely to vote
makes no difference
don’t know/refused
 

see also:
Larson's Analysis
Thigpen's Analysis
Salmore's Analysis
Survey Details Copyright © 2001, Fairleigh Dickinson University. All rights reserved. FDU PublicMind Poll [Latest update 011103]