FDU PublicMind - September 27, 2005 Release

Tables

Question: Now, turning to New Jersey… In your opinion, do you think things in New Jersey are moving in the right direction or do you think the state has gotten off on the wrong track?
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep	Con	Mod	Lib	July ‘05	April ‘05	Jan. ‘05	Oct. ‘04
Right Direction	39%	50	32	27	35	35	47	36%	29%	40%	40%
Wrong track	49%	37	53	63	54	45	42	51%	59%	45%	48%
Don’t know	12%	13	15	10	11	21	11	13%	12%	15%	12%

Question: Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?
[ROTATE NAMES]	Haven’t heard of	Heard of	Very Favor- able	Some- what Favor- able	Some- what Unfavor- able	Very Unfavor- able	No opinion
Doug Forrester	9	91	13	29	19	9	30
Jon Corzine	8	92	19	27	17	15	21
Richard Codey	21	80	28	33	12	7	20
Hector Castillo	89	11	3	24	25	3	46
Jeffrey Pawlowski	89	11	9	10	22	2	58
Previous Surveys…
Forrester 7/05	10%	90%	12	34	17	11	27
Forrester 4/05	20%	80%	13	26	14	6	41
Forrester 1/05	36%	64%	8	22	10	7	51
Corzine 7/05	7%	94%	23	34	14	15	15
Corzine 4/05	8%	91%	18	27	16	16	23
Corzine 1/05	11%	90%	22	31	12	9	26
Codey 7/05	15%	85%	21	39	16	10	15
Codey 4/05	22%	78%	21	30	16	9	23
Codey 01/05	35%	65%	18	30	4	3	44
Codey 10/04	59%	42%	6	17	6	4	66
Codey 8/04	68%	32%	11	19	3	6	60
Lautenberg 7/05	11%	89%	19	36	15	16	14

Question: How would you rate the job Richard Codey is doing as governor—excellent, good, only fair, or poor?
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep	Men	Women	July ‘05	April ‘05	Jan ‘05
Excellent (12%) or Good (45%)	57%	65	53	49	57	57	50	44	41
Only Fair (31%) or Poor (8%)	38%	31	40	47	42	36	44	47	30
Don’t know/unsure	5%	4	6	4	1	7	7	9	30

Question: If the election for Governor of New Jersey were held right now, and you had to hake a choice, which of the following …or … would you vote for? [If “unsure” ask:] Which way do you lean…?
Rotate names	All	Dem.	Ind	Rep	con	mod	lib	Men	Women
Jon Corzine, the Democratic candidate	43%	75	35	10	28	47	67	44	43
lean Corzine	4%	6	3	2	3	7	6	4	4
Total Corzine	48%*	81	38	12	30	54	72	48	47
Doug Forrester, the Republican candidate	36%	9	26	73	54	18	15	36	35
lean Forrester	2%	1	6	3	3	4	1	3	2
Total Forrester	38%*	10	32	75	57	22	16	39	37
Unsure	10%	7	21	7	9	15	9	9	11
Other	4%	2	9	5	5	9	3	4	5

Due to rounding, numbers may not add.

Question: Which candidate for governor… or … is best described by…?
rotate names		All	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
Honest, trustworthy			`
	Jon Corzine	30%	51	21	8
	Doug Forrester	25%	10	13	52
	neither (vol)	17%	14	25	18
	both (vol)	9%	10	15	6
	don’t know (vol)	18%	16	26	17
Can do something about high property taxes?		All	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
	Jon Corzine	33%	55	28	11
	Doug Forrester	28%	12	15	54
	neither (vol)	19%	14	32	20
	both (vol)	4%	2	12	3
	don’t know (vol)	16%	17	14	12
Understands the concerns of the average person		All	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
	Jon Corzine	37%	59	34	11
	Doug Forrester	28%	11	14	56
	neither (vol)	15%	11	23	15
	both (vol)	6%	5	9	5
	don’t know (vol)	16%	14	20	13
Has the background and experience to be a good governor		All	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
	Jon Corzine	42%	66	40	16
	Doug Forrester	22%	9	8	46
	neither (vol)	10%	4	21	12
	both (vol)	10%	8	12	10
	don’t know (vol)	16%	14	19	16
Negative campaigner		All	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
	Jon Corzine	21%	11	19	34
	Doug Forrester	26%	37	20	16
	neither (vol)	19%	20	25	17
	both (vol)	9%	7	13	12
	don’t know (vol)	25%	25	23	21
Independent of the party bosses and large campaign contributors		All	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
	Jon Corzine	31%	44	28	18
	Doug Forrester	22%	13	9	39
	neither (vol)	15%	12	23	16
	both (vol)	7%	8	9	7
	don’t know (vol)	25%	23	31	21

Question: Are you satisfied with the choice of candidates you have for governor in this election or do you wish there were different candidates?
	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.
Satisfied	47%	53	34	44
Wish for different choices	47%	41	56	51
Don’t know (vol.)	7%	7	10	5

Question: How much of a difference will it make that one candidate is elected rather than the other?
		All	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
	Quite a lot	32%	37	19	31
	Some	30%	28	24	34
	Just a little	22%	21	29	21
	None	12%	9	18	11
	Don’t know/ref (vol)	5%	4	9	4

Question: This November in New Jersey there will also be an election for the state assembly. If that election were held today, do you think you’d be voting for the … or …. candidates
[Rotate]		All	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
	Republican	33	4	33	72
	Democrat	43	80	30	8
	Both/mixed (vol)	2	2	1	1
	Neither (vol)	4	2	11	2
	Don’t know/unsure(vol)	18	12	24	17

Contacts:
Rick Thigpen, academic associate, 609-394-0888.

Peter Woolley, coordinator: 973-443-8725

Radio actuality line: (201) 692-2846.

For more information, please call (201) 692-7032.