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2001
Governor's Race a/o May 3, 2001
2001 Governor's
Race
Release
May 3, 2001
Methodology
The
first Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll was conducted by
telephone from April 28th through May 1st. A random sample of 800 likely
gubernatorial year voters were interviewed. The sample was drawn from
registered voter lists from all 21 counties in New Jersey. Only voters
who had cast ballots in two of the last four general elections and declared
that the chances of their voting in November were either "excellent"
or "good" were interviewed. The voter lists from which the sample was
drawn are maintained by Labels & Lists, Inc. of Bellevue, WA.
All
sample surveys are subject to two kinds of error. For a sample of 800,
the sampling error is +/-3.5% at the 95% confidence level. This
means that 19 times out of 20, a random sample will yield results that
are no more than 2.5% different than if all likely voters were interviewed.
The +/- 3.5% sampling error holds for results near 50%. For percents
closer to 10% or 90%, the sampling error is +/-2.1%. In addition, all
survey results are subject to non-sampling error. This kind of
error, which can not be measured, arises from a number of factors including,
but not limited to, non-response (eligible voters refusing to be interviewed),
question wording, the order in which questions are asked, and variations
among interviewers. The interviews were conducted by TMR, Inc. of Parsippany,
NJ. Professionally-trained interviewers using a CATI (Computer Assisted
Telephone Interviewing System) conducted all interviews.
Survey
Wording
The
wording of the questions included in this release are as follows:
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First
of all, how would you rate your chances of voting in the elections
this November for Governor and the State Legislature? Would you
say that your chances are excellent, good, only fair, or poor?
77% EXCELLENT
23% GOOD
ONLY FAIR-->SCREEN OUT
POOR------->SCREEN OUT
DK/REFUSED->SCREEN OUT
Do
you think things in New Jersey are generally going in the right
direction or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
44% RIGHT DIRECTION
39% WRONG TRACK
17% DK/REFUSED
Thinking
about the election for Governor this November, what do you think
are the one or two most important problems the candidates for
discussing should be discussing?
[PROBE FOR TWO ANSWERS]
43% TAXES/SPENDING
8% DEVELOPMENT/TRAFFIC
13% ECONOMY/JOBS/HIGH PRICES
36% EDUCATION/SCHOOLS
15% HEALTH COSTS/ SENIOR ISSUES
22% ENVIRONMENT
7% CRIME/DRUGS
6% GOV'T CORRUPTION/ETHICS
9% OTHER
6% NOTHING/DK/REFUSED
Thinking
ahead to the elections that will be held next month -- If the
election for Governor was being held today, would you be voting
for
[ROTATE]:[ ] the Republican candidate or [ ] the Democratic candidate?
34% REPUBLICAN
35% DEMOCRAT
31% UNSURE/DON=T KNOW
Now
I'm going to read you the names of several prominent people in
public life in New Jersey. For each one please tell me whether
or not you have heard of them? Have you ever heard of... [START
AT ROTATION POINT]?
IF HEARD OF ASK: Do you have a generally favorable or unfavorable
opinion of...[Name]...?
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NOT
HEARD |
FAV-
ORABLE |
UNFAV-
ORABLE |
DK/
REFUSED |
| Don DiFrancesco |
12% |
28% |
34% |
26% |
| Jim McGreevey |
12 |
46 |
16 |
26 |
| Bret
Schundler |
39 |
22 |
14 |
25 |
| Christie
Whitman |
0 |
55 |
39 |
5 |
| Bob Torricelli |
5 |
40 |
35 |
19 |
| Jon Corzine |
3 |
48 |
29 |
20 |
| Bob Franks |
10 |
51 |
13 |
27 |
[ROTATE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS] Turning back to the elections this
November -- If the election for Governor were held today, and
you had to make a choice, would you vote for [ROTATE] ...[ ] Republican
Bob FranksOR[ ] Democrat Jim McGreevey
42% FRANKS
42% McGREEVEY
26% UNSURE / REFUSE
If
the election for Governor were held today, and you had to make
a choice, would you vote for [ROTATE] ...[ ] Republican Bret Schundler
or[ ] Democrat Jim McGreevey OR[ ] Democrat Jim McGreevey
30% SCHUNDLER
47% McGREEVEY
23% UNSURE / REFUSE
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see also:
Director's Analysis
Republican
Analysis
Democratic Analysis
Survey Details
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